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LaLiga2

Referee: Manuel Orellana

Castellon

T U S T S

0–1

Full-time

Santander

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 6

17 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 12. · Santander 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Burgos	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Santander	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Levante	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Eibar	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Malaga	6	2	4	0	+2	10
7	Mirandes	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Huesca	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Albacete	6	3	0	3	+1	9
10	Eldense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Castellon	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Sp Gijon	6	1	3	2	+0	6
14	Granada	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Cadiz	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Cordoba	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Almeria	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Elche	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	La Coruna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Cartagena	5	1	0	4	-4	3
21	Ferrol	6	0	3	3	-5	3
22	Tenerife	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Malaga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Eldense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Burgos	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Cordoba	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Santander	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Levante	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Elche	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Albacete	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Granada	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Ferrol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Cadiz	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Castellon	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-3	1
22	Cartagena	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	4	2	1	1	+4	7
2	Burgos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Levante	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Castellon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Santander	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Albacete	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Granada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Malaga	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Cartagena	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Mirandes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Sp Gijon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eldense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Cordoba	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Elche	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.