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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Gent

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,99 xG 0,47

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 8. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	7	5	1	1	+6	+10.7	16
2	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+6	+4.9	14
3	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.5	12
4	St. Gilloise	7	3	3	1	+5	+6.4	12
5	Dender	8	3	3	2	+0	-0.9	12
6	Club Brugge	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.9	11
7	Anderlecht	6	2	4	0	+3	+2.6	10
8	Gent	6	3	0	3	+3	-2.3	9
9	Standard	5	2	2	1	+1	-3.9	8
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	4	1	+1	+1.5	7
11	Westerlo	6	2	1	3	-1	+0.5	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.9	7
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-8	-5.2	5
14	Cercle Brugge	6	1	1	4	-8	-8.3	4
15	Kortrijk	7	1	1	5	-10	-4.4	4
16	Beerschot VA	7	0	1	6	-12	-8.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.3	10
2	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
3	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.1	9
4	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
5	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+8	+2.3	6
6	Gent	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.4	6
7	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.6	6
8	Anderlecht	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.1	6
9	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
11	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.4	5
12	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
13	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
14	Mechelen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
15	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
16	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
2	Dender	4	2	1	1	-2	-1.5	7
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	+5.5	6
5	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
8	St. Gilloise	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
9	Gent	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.6	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.4	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.1	1
14	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-8	-6.3	1
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0
16	Beerschot VA	4	0	0	4	-10	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.