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Copa del Rey
Referee: Raúl González
Hércules
T
1–2
Full-time
Burgos
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hércules Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
6,0
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
52 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
53 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
54 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
68 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Arosa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hércules Burgos
17′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ E. Saveljich
19′
⚽ Fer Niño 0–1
K. Appin
0–2 Miki Muñoz ⚽
own goal
35′
Half-time 0–3
51′
⚽ Javi López 0–3
Álex Sancris
J. M. Gomez Meneses 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Fer Niño
62′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Javi López
K. Ketu 🔁
↦ José Artiles
65′
Roger Colomina 🔁
↦ Alfonso Candelas
65′
Hugo Sanz 🔁
↦ Alvarito
65′
69′
🔁 Aitor Córdoba
↦ K. Appin
69′
🔁 Curro Sánchez
↦ Álex Sancris
Marcos Mendes 🔁
↦ Diego Lorenzo
75′
Nico Espinosa 🔁
↦ Míchel Herrero
75′
77′
🟨 U. Elgezabal
R. Nolan 🟨
83′
89′
🟨 L. Badiashile
90′
🟨 B. Gonzalez
93′
🟨 M. Munoz
J. N'djoli 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hércules

13 Javier Cendón
5 Josema Gómez
3 Alfonso Candelas
2 R. Nolan
15 Samu Vázquez
21 Míchel Herrero
7 Alvarito
19 Carlos Mangada
8 José Artiles
34 Diego Lorenzo
11 J. N'djoli
Bench (11)
20 K. Ketu
6 Roger Colomina
18 Hugo Sanz
17 Marcos Mendes
10 Nico Espinosa
4 Sergi Molina
30 Rafael de Palmas
24 David López
1 Carlos Abad
28 Jorge Galvañ
16 Juanmi García

Coach: Rubén Torrecilla

Burgos

1 L. Badiashile
20 Grego Sierra
24 E. Saveljich
2 Borja González
14 Unai Elgezabal
17 Andy Rodríguez
22 Miki Muñoz
27 Javi López
11 Álex Sancris
9 Fer Niño
8 Ander Martín
Bench (11)
12 K. Appin
19 Edu Espiau
7 Dani Ojeda
18 Aitor Córdoba
16 Curro Sánchez
13 José Antonio Caro
10 Álex Bermejo
28 Saúl del Cerro
5 Miguel Atienza
23 José Matos
29 Rubén de Gea

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.