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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Eldense
S U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Burgos
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
38%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 15. · Burgos 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 14 10 1 3 +18 31
2 Sp Gijon 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Eibar 14 8 2 4 +8 26
4 Valladolid 14 8 1 5 +2 25
5 Espanol 14 7 3 4 +8 24
6 Levante 14 6 6 2 +4 24
7 Ferrol 14 6 5 3 +2 23
8 Tenerife 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Zaragoza 13 6 3 4 +4 21
10 Santander 14 6 3 5 +2 21
11 Elche 14 5 5 4 -3 20
12 Mirandes 14 5 3 6 -1 18
13 Oviedo 13 4 5 4 +4 17
14 Burgos 13 5 2 6 -2 17
15 Eldense 13 4 4 5 -4 16
16 Andorra 14 5 1 8 -5 16
17 Albacete 14 4 4 6 -6 16
18 Villarreal B 14 3 4 7 -6 13
19 Alcorcon 14 3 4 7 -9 13
20 Huesca 14 2 6 6 -5 12
21 Amorebieta 14 2 4 8 -10 10
22 Cartagena 14 1 3 10 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Dec -22 Eldense – Burgos 1–0

Match report

Eldense Burgos
Iván Chapela ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
5′
1–0 Iván Chapela
Marc Mateu
14′
David Timor 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ K. Appin
46′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Miguel Atienza
Jesús Clemente 🔁
↦ Juanto
62′
Derick Poloni 🔁
↦ Cris Montes
62′
71′
🟨 Grego Sierra
Miguel Marí 🔁
↦ Marc Mateu
72′
72′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Borja González
Mario Soberón 🔁
↦ F. Andone
73′
Joel Jorquera 🔁
↦ Iván Chapela
77′
2–0 Jesús Clemente
Toni Abad
81′
82′
🟨 Unai Elguezabal
86′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Dani Ojeda
86′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Grego Sierra
Jesús Clemente 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
13 Andoni Zubiaurre G
2 Toni Abad D
6 Carlos Hernández D
5 Piña D
23 Marc Mateu D
10 Cris Montes
8 Sergio Ortu M
24 David Timor M
20 Iván Chapela M
11 Juanto F
7 F. Andone F
Bench (11)
17 Jesús Clemente
12 Derick Poloni
15 Miguel Marí
9 Mario Soberón
19 Joel Jorquera
14 Miguel Llambrich
1 Guille Vallejo
31 Álvaro Aceves
18 Pedro Capó
22 M. Doué
21 Álex Bernal

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
5 Miguel Atienza M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
7 Dani Ojeda M
12 K. Appin F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (10)
19 Edu Espiau
8 Ander Martín
11 Álex Sancris
10 Álex Bermejo
22 Miki Muñoz
27 Javi López
17 Andy Rodríguez
1 L. Badiashile
29 Rubén de Gea
28 Saúl del Cerro

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,01
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.