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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Ferrol
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Burgos
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
27%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 6. · Burgos 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 16 11 2 3 +19 35
2 Sp Gijon 16 8 5 3 +10 29
3 Valladolid 16 9 2 5 +3 29
4 Espanol 16 8 4 4 +10 28
5 Eibar 15 8 3 4 +8 27
6 Ferrol 15 7 5 3 +3 26
7 Levante 15 6 6 3 +3 24
8 Tenerife 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Elche 16 6 5 5 -3 23
10 Eldense 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Zaragoza 16 6 4 6 +0 22
12 Santander 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Burgos 15 6 2 7 -2 20
14 Oviedo 15 4 7 4 +4 19
15 Mirandes 15 5 3 7 -2 18
16 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -6 17
17 Huesca 16 3 7 6 -3 16
18 Villarreal B 15 4 4 7 -5 16
19 Andorra 15 5 1 9 -7 16
20 Amorebieta 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Alcorcon 16 3 5 8 -11 14
22 Cartagena 15 1 4 10 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Burgos
45′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Miguel Muñoz Mora
51′
🟨 Matos
58′
🟨 Borja Gonzalez Tejada
60′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ Miguel Atienza
Manu Justo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Vadillo
61′
67′
🟨 Álex Sancris
68′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Edu Espiau
68′
🔁 Curro Sánchez
↦ Álex Sancris
1–0 Álvaro Giménez
Josep Señé
71′
79′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Dani Ojeda
79′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Miki Muñoz
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Iker Losada
81′
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
81′
Sergio Cubero 🟨
84′
Jon García 🔁
↦ Carlos Vicente
84′
Álex López 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
84′
96′
Fer Niño 1–1
Curro Sánchez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Ander Cantero G
24 Sergio Cubero D
5 Enrique Clemente D
15 David Castro D
21 Moi Delgado D
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
23 Carlos Vicente M
22 Iker Losada M
14 Álvaro Vadillo M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (9)
9 Manu Justo
11 Nacho Sánchez
19 Sabin Merino
4 Jon García
8 Álex López
13 Emilio Bernad
1 G. Gazzaniga
16 Fran Manzanara
2 Julián Delmás

Coach: Cristóbal

Burgos

3-4-3
13 José Antonio Caro G
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
20 Grego Sierra D
2 Borja González M
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 Miguel Atienza M
23 José Matos M
11 Álex Sancris F
19 Edu Espiau F
7 Dani Ojeda F
Bench (9)
12 K. Appin
9 Fer Niño
16 Curro Sánchez
8 Ander Martín
10 Álex Bermejo
26 S. Rodríguez
27 Javi López
1 L. Badiashile
17 Andy Rodríguez

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,09
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.