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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Lugo
T U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
21%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
30%
42%
Both score Ø 44%
39%
48%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 22. · Ponferradina 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 34 18 10 6 +12 64
2 Granada 33 18 7 8 +21 61
3 Alaves 34 17 9 8 +14 60
4 Levante 34 15 15 4 +14 60
5 Las Palmas 33 15 14 4 +17 59
6 Albacete 33 13 13 7 +6 52
7 Cartagena 34 14 8 12 +4 50
8 Burgos 34 12 13 9 +4 49
9 Villarreal B 34 12 10 12 -2 46
10 Huesca 34 9 16 9 +1 43
11 Tenerife 34 10 12 12 -1 42
12 Andorra 33 11 8 14 +4 41
13 Mirandes 33 10 11 12 -3 41
14 Zaragoza 34 9 14 11 -3 41
15 Oviedo 34 10 10 14 -6 40
16 Leganes 34 10 10 14 -7 40
17 Sp Gijon 33 8 14 11 -4 38
18 Santander 34 9 11 14 -5 38
19 Ponferradina 33 7 13 13 -13 34
20 Malaga 33 6 12 15 -9 30
21 Ibiza 33 6 10 17 -21 28
22 Lugo 33 5 10 18 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Ponferradina
Juanpe 🟨
-5′
22′
🟨 Alexandru Paşcanu
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Agus Medina
58′
🔁 Naim García
↦ Hugo Vallejo
59′
🟨 Kelechi Nwakali
J. Cuéllar 🔁
↦ Xavi Torres
69′
Jordi Calavera 🔁
↦ Ángel Baena
70′
75′
🔁 Yuri
↦ Edu Espiau
M. El Hacen 🔁
↦ Andoni López
82′
Zé Ricardo 🔁
↦ A. Pantić
82′
Álex Pérez 🔁
↦ Gui
82′
86′
🔁 Ale Díez
↦ Paris Adot
86′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Dani Ojeda
Jose Ricardo 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Adrián Castellano
Jaume Cuéllar 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lugo

3-5-2
13 Óscar Whalley G
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
14 Xavi Torres D
3 A. Pantić D
15 Miguel Loureiro M
38 Gui M
22 Marc Carbó M
7 Sebas Moyano M
17 Andoni López M
11 Ángel Baena F
19 Javier Avilés F
Bench (9)
29 J. Cuéllar
23 Jordi Calavera
18 M. El Hacen
12 Zé Ricardo
24 Álex Pérez
16 M. Šćepović
27 Andrés Castrín
1 P. Sequeira
6 Juanpe

Coach: Íñigo Vélez

Ponferradina

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
6 S. Chakla D
15 Adrián Castellano D
7 Dani Ojeda M
11 K. Nwakali M
8 Agus Medina M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
23 Derik Lacerda F
Bench (10)
34 Naim García
10 Yuri
21 Ale Díez
17 Heriberto Tavares
24 S. Abdulai
13 Miguel San Román
3 Adrián Diéguez
20 José Naranjo
16 Moi Delgado
18 Erik Morán

Coach: David Gallego

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U ✓
2,89
B
2,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.