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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Levante
U U S U S
0–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 5. · Cartagena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 5 3 2 0 +7 11
2 Alaves 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Eibar 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Albacete 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Levante 5 2 3 0 +5 9
6 Granada 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Burgos 5 2 3 0 +2 9
8 Cartagena 5 3 0 2 +1 9
9 Sp Gijon 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Huesca 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 Lugo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Villarreal B 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Andorra 5 2 1 2 -3 7
15 Ponferradina 5 2 0 3 -2 6
16 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Tenerife 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Ibiza 5 1 1 3 -5 4
19 Leganes 5 1 0 4 -3 3
20 Santander 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Malaga 5 1 0 4 -5 3
22 Mirandes 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Cartagena
Jorge de Frutos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
3′
10′
🟨 Pedro Alcalá
22′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
32′
🟨 Jairo Izquierdo González
Half-time 0–0
Jorge de Frutos 🟨
46′
47′
A. Sadiku 0–1
T. Datković
49′
ℹ️ Toni Datković
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
🟨 Toni Datković
Wesley Moraes 🟨
56′
M. Bouldini 🔁
↦ Soldado
57′
64′
🔁 Delmás
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
64′
🔁 Sangalli
↦ Borja Valle
Cantero 🔁
↦ Jorge de Frutos
66′
Brugui 🔁
↦ Joni Montiel
66′
68′
🟨 Luca Sangalli
80′
🔁 Óscar
↦ P. De Blasis
C. Musonda 🔁
↦ Wesley Moraes
81′
Rober Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Enric Franquesa
81′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
1 Dani Cárdenas G
2 Son D
15 Postigo D
14 Rúben Vezo D
3 Enric Franquesa D
18 Jorge de Frutos M
8 Pepelu M
10 Iborra M
20 Joni Montiel M
9 Soldado F
7 Wesley Moraes F
Bench (12)
22 M. Bouldini
11 Cantero
17 Brugui
21 C. Musonda
19 Rober Ibáñez
35 Hugo Redón
13 Joan Femenías
16 Álex Muñoz
29 Marc Pubill
6 Pablo Martínez
4 Róber Pier
23 M. Saracchi

Coach: M. Nafti

Cartagena

5-4-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
10 Borja Valle M
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
8 P. De Blasis M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
19 A. Sadiku
22 Delmás
15 Sangalli
11 Óscar
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
1 Marc Martínez
29 Adrian Sanmartin
14 F. Feuillassier
5 Pablo Vázquez
35 I. Pais
26 José Mari
28 Neskes

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U
3,86
B ✓
4,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.