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LaLiga2

Castellon

S U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Almeria

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/6 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 21%

25%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,9

1,8

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 4

6 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 14. · Almeria 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Sp Gijon	8	5	1	2	+4	16
3	Mallorca	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Leganes	8	5	0	3	+2	15
5	Malaga	8	4	2	2	-2	14
6	Vallecano	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Fuenlabrada	8	3	4	1	+1	13
8	Ponferradina	7	4	0	3	+3	12
9	Cartagena	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	Lugo	8	4	0	4	+0	12
12	Girona	7	4	0	3	-2	12
13	Mirandes	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Castellon	8	2	2	4	-1	8
15	Albacete	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Tenerife	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Almeria	6	2	1	3	+1	7
18	Oviedo	8	1	4	3	-3	7
19	Zaragoza	6	1	3	2	-1	6
20	Alcorcon	6	1	2	3	-2	5
21	Logrones	7	1	2	4	-3	5
22	Sabadell	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Espanol	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Las Palmas	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Sp Gijon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Fuenlabrada	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Malaga	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Cartagena	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Albacete	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Lugo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Girona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Zaragoza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
17	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
18	Alcorcon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Castellon	4	1	0	3	-1	3
21	Mirandes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Mirandes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Ponferradina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Lugo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Girona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Malaga	4	2	0	2	-4	6
9	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Cartagena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Leganes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Oviedo	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Logrones	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Tenerife	4	0	1	3	-5	1
21	Sabadell	4	0	1	3	-5	1
22	Albacete	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.