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LaLiga2
Lugo
U U T U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Fuenlabrada
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 17. · Fuenlabrada 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 5 5 0 0 +7 15
2 Zaragoza 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Almeria 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Vallecano 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Numancia 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Elche 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Girona 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Tenerife 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Alcorcon 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Ponferradina 5 1 3 1 +2 6
13 Albacete 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Sp Gijon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
15 Malaga 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Mirandes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
17 Lugo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 La Coruna 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Las Palmas 5 0 3 2 -4 3
20 Santander 5 0 2 3 -4 2
21 Extremadura UD 5 0 2 3 -4 2
22 Oviedo 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
2,95
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.