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LaLiga2

Extremadura UD

S U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Extremadura UD Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

56%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 5

15 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Extremadura UD 21. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	25	14	6	5	+12	48
2	Almeria	25	12	9	4	+18	45
3	Huesca	25	13	4	8	+9	43
4	Zaragoza	24	12	6	6	+11	42
5	Fuenlabrada	25	9	10	6	+4	37
6	Elche	25	9	9	7	+5	36
7	Numancia	25	9	9	7	+5	36
8	Girona	25	10	5	10	+1	35
9	Las Palmas	25	9	8	8	+1	35
10	Mirandes	24	8	10	6	-1	34
11	Vallecano	24	7	12	5	+5	33
12	Alcorcon	25	7	12	6	+1	33
13	Ponferradina	25	7	11	7	+2	32
14	Sp Gijon	26	8	7	11	-4	31
15	Tenerife	26	7	8	11	-3	29
16	Malaga	25	5	13	7	-1	28
17	Albacete	24	8	4	12	-11	28
18	La Coruna	25	6	9	10	-14	27
19	Oviedo	25	5	10	10	-8	25
20	Lugo	25	5	10	10	-13	25
21	Extremadura UD	25	5	8	12	-12	23
22	Santander	25	2	14	9	-7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	13	10	1	2	+12	31
2	Cadiz	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Girona	13	8	3	2	+8	27
4	Zaragoza	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Numancia	13	7	3	3	+8	24
6	Almeria	12	7	2	3	+9	23
7	Ponferradina	13	5	7	1	+8	22
8	Mirandes	12	5	6	1	+6	21
9	Sp Gijon	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Fuenlabrada	12	5	6	1	+5	21
11	Vallecano	12	5	5	2	+4	20
12	Las Palmas	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	Tenerife	13	4	5	4	+0	17
14	Malaga	12	3	7	2	+2	16
15	La Coruna	12	4	4	4	-3	16
16	Lugo	13	4	4	5	-7	16
17	Elche	12	3	6	3	+1	15
18	Alcorcon	13	4	3	6	-4	15
19	Oviedo	12	2	8	2	-1	14
20	Santander	12	2	7	3	+2	13
21	Albacete	12	3	3	6	-6	12
22	Extremadura UD	12	2	4	6	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	13	5	7	1	+9	22
2	Elche	13	6	3	4	+4	21
3	Cadiz	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Alcorcon	12	3	9	0	+5	18
5	Zaragoza	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Fuenlabrada	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	Albacete	12	5	1	6	-5	16
9	Vallecano	12	2	7	3	+1	13
10	Mirandes	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Extremadura UD	13	3	4	6	-7	13
12	Numancia	12	2	6	4	-3	12
13	Tenerife	13	3	3	7	-3	12
14	Huesca	12	3	3	6	-3	12
15	Malaga	13	2	6	5	-3	12
16	Oviedo	13	3	2	8	-7	11
17	La Coruna	13	2	5	6	-11	11
18	Ponferradina	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Sp Gijon	13	2	4	7	-9	10
20	Lugo	12	1	6	5	-6	9
21	Girona	12	2	2	8	-7	8
22	Santander	13	0	7	6	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.