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Serie B
Referee: Antonio Rapuano
Reggiana
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Modena
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
78%
44%
Both score Ø 73%
89%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,56 xG 1,01
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 9. · Modena 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 9 6 3 0 +11 21
2 Monza 9 5 2 2 +4 17
3 Cesena 9 5 2 2 +3 17
4 Palermo 9 4 4 1 +5 16
5 Frosinone 9 4 3 2 +5 15
6 Carrarese 9 3 5 1 +5 14
7 Juve Stabia 9 3 5 1 +2 14
8 Venezia 9 3 4 2 +4 13
9 Reggiana 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Padova 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Avellino 9 3 3 3 -4 12
12 Sudtirol 9 2 4 3 +0 10
13 Virtus Entella 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Empoli 9 2 4 3 -4 10
15 Catanzaro 9 1 6 2 -1 9
16 Bari 9 2 3 4 -6 9
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -3 7
18 Spezia 9 1 3 5 -4 6
19 Sampdoria 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Mantova 9 1 2 6 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Modena
1–0 A. Bozzolan
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Gerli
↦ L. Magnino
46′
🔁 L. Zanimacchia
↦ G. Beyuku
58′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ P. Mendes
59′
🔁 Y. Massolin
↦ A. Sersanti
61′
🟨 Bryant Nieling
Charlys 🟨
64′
70′
🟨 Francesco Di Mariano
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
71′
72′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ B. Nieling
F. Vallarelli 🔁
↦ E. Tavsan
79′
S. Bonetti 🔁
↦ M. Marras
85′
M. Lambourde 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
85′
Simone Bonetti 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Daniel Tonoli
95′
ℹ️ Daniel Tonoli
VAR: Card reviewed
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
1 E. Motta G
2 A. Papetti D
96 G. Magnani D
17 L. Libutti D
7 M. Marras M
8 Charlys M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
3 A. Bozzolan M
10 E. Tavsan F
90 M. Portanova F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
22 M. Enza
21 G. Saro
43 S. Bonetti
33 A. Tripaldelli
19 D. Basili
72 R. Maisterra
44 L. Mendicino
6 F. Vallarelli
5 L. Stulac
93 M. Lambourde
9 A. Novakovich
23 M. Rover

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Modena

3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
28 D. Adorni D
20 B. Nieling
2 G. Beyuku M
5 A. Sersanti M
6 L. Magnino M
8 S. Santoro M
7 F. Zampano M
23 F. Di Mariano F
11 P. Mendes F
Bench (12)
78 F. Bagheria
22 M. Pezzolato
25 A. Dellavalle
19 S. Nador
3 F. Ponsi
16 F. Gerli
98 L. Zanimacchia
18 N. Pyyhtia
17 Y. Massolin
9 E. Gliozzi
10 G. Caso
92 G. Defrel

Coach: Andrea Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,13
U
3,24
B
1,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Rapuano · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.