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Serie B
Referee: Andrea Zanotti
Reggiana
T S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Spezia
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Reggiana 13. · Spezia 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Frosinone 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Palermo 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Cesena 5 3 2 0 +4 11
5 Avellino 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Sudtirol 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Venezia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Juve Stabia 5 1 4 0 +2 7
9 Monza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Padova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Carrarese 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Catanzaro 5 0 5 0 +0 5
13 Reggiana 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Virtus Entella 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Empoli 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Pescara 5 1 1 3 +0 4
17 Mantova 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Bari 5 0 2 3 -6 2
19 Spezia 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Sampdoria 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-5-2
1 E. Motta G
17 L. Libutti D
2 A. Papetti D
43 S. Bonetti D
23 M. Rover M
7 M. Marras M
16 T. Reinhart M
8 Charlys M
3 A. Bozzolan M
9 A. Novakovich F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
21 G. Saro
6 F. Vallarelli
10 E. Tavsan
19 D. Basili
26 M. Bertagnoli
33 A. Tripaldelli
44 L. Mendicino
72 R. Maisterra
80 N. Girma
91 O. Conte
93 M. Lambourde
96 G. Magnani

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Spezia

3-5-2
1 M. Sarr G
2 P. Wisniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Mateju D
23 A. Candela M
8 A. Nagy M
5 S. Esposito M
80 R. Kouda M
31 G. Aurelio M
27 E. Soleri F
10 G. Lapadula F
Bench (12)
12 D. Mascardi
16 L. Loria
6 Fellipe Jack
9 G. Artistico
11 P. Beruatto
15 A. Cistana
20 G. Di Serio
26 M. Onofri
29 F. Cassata
34 C. Comotto
77 E. Lorenzelli
99 V. Vlahovic

Coach: Luca D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,06
U ✓
3,17
B
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrea Zanotti · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.