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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Scatena
Udinese
U U S U S
4–0
Full-time
Avellino
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Avellino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Udinese Avellino
3′
🟨 Daniele Liotti
18′
🟨 Francesco Patierno
1–0 Brenner ⚽
F. Thauvin
41′
Half-time 1–0
Hassane Kamara ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
2–0 F. Thauvin ⚽
50′
3–0 L. Lucca ⚽
F. Thauvin
58′
59′
🔁 M. D'Ausilio
↦ D. Sounas
60′
🔁 R. Russo
↦ C. Patierno
Brenner 🟨
62′
J. Karlström 🔁
↦ M. Payero
64′
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ F. Thauvin
64′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Brenner
75′
K. Davis 🔁
↦ L. Lucca
76′
77′
🔁 D. Cancellieri
↦ D. Liotti
77′
🔁 M. Vano
↦ G. Gori
C. Kabasele 🔁
↦ N. Pérez
82′
82′
🔁 A. De Cristofaro
↦ M. Rocca
4–0 K. Davis ⚽
L. Samardžić
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-1-2
40 M. Okoye G
18 N. Pérez D
29 J. Bijol D
30 L. Gianetti D
19 K. Ehizibue M
8 S. Lovrić M
5 M. Payero M
11 H. Kamara M
10 F. Thauvin F
22 Brenner F
17 L. Lucca F
Bench (13)
25 J. Karlström
24 L. Samardžić
6 Oier Zarraga
9 K. Davis
27 C. Kabasele
33 J. Zemura
3 Gonçalo Esteves
2 F. Ebosele
1 M. Silvestri
16 M. Palma
93 D. Padelli
4 J. Abankwah
21 Iker Bravo

Coach: K. Runjaić

Avellino

3-5-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
29 T. Cancellotti D
21 M. Armellino D
38 P. Frascatore D
19 A. Tribuzzi M
6 L. Palmiero M
24 D. Sounas M
8 M. Rocca M
94 D. Liotti M
9 C. Patierno F
35 G. Gori F
Bench (14)
7 M. D'Ausilio
10 R. Russo
3 D. Cancellieri
91 M. Vano
4 A. De Cristofaro
22 M. Guarnieri
77 L. Marson
60 M. Llano
33 S. Benedetti
11 D. Sannipoli
53 S. Fusco
51 V. Arzillo
25 M. Toscano
12 L. Pizzella

Coach: M. Pazienza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.