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Referee: S Galipò

S U S U T

1–1

Full-time

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
4	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
7	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Apr -24 Bari – Cremonese 1–2 26. Aug -23 Cremonese – Bari 0–1

Match report

Cremonese Bari

F. Vázquez 🔁

↦ D. Johnsen

34′

44′

🟨 Costantino Favasuli

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 A. Oliveri

↦ M. Dorval

M. De Luca 🔁

↦ F. Tsadjout

58′

T. Barbieri 🔁

↦ L. Zanimacchia

58′

61′

🔁 G. Manzari

↦ L. Sgarbi

61′

🔁 M. Maita

↦ R. Maiello

1–0 M. De Luca ⚽

M. Castagnetti

68′

72′

🔁 A. Novakovich

↦ K. Lasagna

77′

🔁 G. Ricci

↦ C. Favasuli

80′

⚽ G. Manzari 1–1

G. Sibilli

Ž. Majer 🔁

↦ M. Castagnetti

81′

F. Bonazzoli 🔁

↦ J. Vandeputte

82′

Franco Vázquez 🟨

85′

Valentin Antov 🟨

92′

121′

⚽ Ahmad Benali 1–2

2–2 M. De Luca ⚽

122′

123′

❌ F. Vicari

penalty missed

3–2 F. Vázquez ⚽

124′

125′

⚽ G. Sibilli 3–3

4–3 L. Sernicola ⚽

126′

127′

⚽ G. Manzari 4–4

5–4 T. Barbieri ⚽

128′

129′

⚽ A. Novakovich 5–5

M. Collocolo ❌

penalty missed

130′

131′

❌ A. Oliveri

penalty missed

6–5 F. Bonazzoli ⚽

132′

Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-1-1

1

A. Fulignati G

26

V. Antov D

5

L. Ravanelli D

15

M. Bianchetti D

98 L. Zanimacchia M

18

M. Collocolo M

19 M. Castagnetti M

27

J. Vandeputte M

17

L. Sernicola M

74 F. Tsadjout F

11

D. Johnsen F

Bench (14)

20 F. Vázquez

9 M. De Luca

4 T. Barbieri

37 Ž. Majer

90 F. Bonazzoli

29 D. Stückler

42 L. Moretti

7 C. Falletti

3 G. Quagliata

6 C. Pickel

44 L. Lochoshvili

21 G. Saro

62 T. Milanese

22 A. Jungdal

Coach: G. Stroppa

Bari

3-4-1-2

1

B. Radunović G

25 R. Pucino D

23 F. Vicari D

55

N. Obaretin D

27

C. Favasuli M

17 R. Maiello M

8 Ahmad Benali M

93

M. Dorval M

20

G. Sibilli F

11 L. Sgarbi F

15 K. Lasagna F

Bench (15)

7 A. Oliveri

18 G. Manzari

4 M. Maita

9 A. Novakovich

31 G. Ricci

3 V. Mantovani

22 M. Pissardo

26 K. Lulić

28 A. Hemsley

5 E. Matino

14 G. Morachioli

16 A. Astrologo

10 N. Bellomo

33 F. De Giosa

80 F. Faggi

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

B

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Jun SB 2 years ago

30. May SB 2 years ago

25. May SB 2 years ago

21. May SB 2 years ago

10. May SB 2 years ago

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,3 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

30,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.