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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Bari
T S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Frosinone
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
26%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
26%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 7. · Frosinone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 24 17 4 3 +28 55
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 24 13 9 2 +23 48
4 Cremonese 24 10 7 7 +9 37
5 Catanzaro 24 7 14 3 +7 35
6 Juve Stabia 24 8 9 7 -3 33
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Modena 24 6 12 6 +1 30
10 Cesena 24 8 6 10 -2 30
11 Brescia 24 6 10 8 -3 28
12 Reggiana 24 7 7 10 -4 28
13 Mantova 24 6 10 8 -5 28
14 Cittadella 24 7 7 10 -14 28
15 Carrarese 24 7 6 11 -9 27
16 Sampdoria 24 5 10 9 -7 25
17 Sudtirol 24 7 4 13 -11 25
18 Salernitana 24 6 6 12 -10 24
19 Cosenza 24 4 10 10 -8 22
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Frosinone
9′
🟨 Anthony Partipilo
Ahmad Benali 🟨
12′
F. Vicari 🔁
↦ R. Pucino
16′
17′
🟨 Davide Bettella
24′
🟨 Giuseppe Ambrosino
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Cichella
↦ T. Begić
46′
🔁 G. Kvernadze
↦ D. Bettella
Mehdi Dorval ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
1–0 A. Favilli
49′
C. Saco 🔁
↦ N. Bellomo
59′
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
59′
62′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ I. Koutsoupias
66′
🟨 Jérémy Oyono
66′
🟥 Jérémy Oyono
VAR: Red card cancelled
2–0 N. Bonfanti
A. Favilli
73′
R. Maiello 🔁
↦ Ahmad Benali
75′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
75′
75′
🔁 K. Barcella
↦ G. Ambrosino
85′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ E. Darboe
Mattia Maita 🟨
86′
95′
G. Kvernadze 2–1
F. Tsadjout
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
3 V. Mantovani D
55 N. Obaretin D
27 C. Favasuli M
8 Ahmad Benali M
4 M. Maita M
93 M. Dorval M
10 N. Bellomo F
19 C. Falletti F
99 A. Favilli F
Bench (9)
23 F. Vicari
94 C. Saco
11 N. Bonfanti
17 R. Maiello
20 G. Pereiro
22 M. Pissardo
18 G. Manzari
13 A. Tripaldelli
45 D. Marfella

Coach: M. Longo

Frosinone

3-5-2
31 M. Cerofolini G
18 D. Bettella D
30 I. Monterisi D
79 G. Bracaglia D
21 J. Oyono M
80 I. Koutsoupias M
55 E. Darboe M
11 T. Begić M
20 A. Oyono M
70 A. Partipilo F
10 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (12)
64 M. Cichella
17 G. Kvernadze
74 F. Tsadjout
37 K. Barcella
90 E. Pecorino
25 P. Szymiński
1 P. Frattali
8 İ. Vural
2 V. Hegelund
47 Mateus Lusuardi
13 A. Sorrentino
7 F. Ghedjemis

Coach: L. Greco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,14
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.