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Serie B

Referee: A Arena

Bari

T T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Brescia

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,2

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

24%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 8. · Brescia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	21	15	4	2	+25	49
2	Pisa	21	13	5	3	+16	44
3	Spezia	21	10	9	2	+16	39
4	Cremonese	22	10	6	6	+10	36
5	Juve Stabia	21	7	9	5	-1	30
6	Cesena	22	8	5	9	+0	29
7	Catanzaro	21	5	13	3	+4	28
8	Bari	21	6	10	5	+4	28
9	Palermo	21	7	6	8	+3	27
10	Mantova	22	6	9	7	-3	27
11	Carrarese	21	7	6	8	-3	27
12	Modena	22	5	11	6	-1	26
13	Reggiana	22	6	7	9	-3	25
14	Cittadella	22	6	7	9	-13	25
15	Brescia	21	5	9	7	-3	24
16	Cosenza	22	4	10	8	-6	22
17	Sampdoria	22	4	9	9	-8	21
18	Salernitana	22	5	6	11	-10	21
19	Frosinone	22	4	9	9	-13	21
20	Sudtirol	21	5	4	12	-14	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	Sassuolo	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Spezia	10	7	3	0	+14	24
4	Carrarese	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Cesena	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Catanzaro	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Modena	11	4	5	2	+4	17
9	Bari	11	4	5	2	+3	17
10	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+4	15
12	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	-1	15
14	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Reggiana	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Cittadella	11	2	6	3	-1	12
17	Cosenza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
18	Frosinone	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Spezia	11	3	6	2	+2	15
5	Juve Stabia	11	3	6	2	+0	15
6	Cittadella	11	4	1	6	-12	13
7	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Bari	10	2	5	3	+1	11
10	Catanzaro	10	1	8	1	-1	11
11	Sampdoria	11	2	5	4	-5	11
12	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-4	10
13	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Sudtirol	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Modena	11	1	6	4	-5	9
17	Mantova	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Carrarese	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.