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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Cittadella
S S U T S
0–2
Full-time
Spezia
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
30%
52%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
39%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 12. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
4 Cremonese 23 10 7 6 +10 37
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Catanzaro 23 6 14 3 +5 32
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
10 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
11 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
13 Modena 23 5 12 6 -1 27
14 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Spezia
Federico Casolari 🟨
3′
13′
🟨 Filippo Bandinelli
20′
L. Vignali 0–1
33′
L. Carissoni 1–1
own goal
Half-time 1–1
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ S. Tronchin
46′
A. Tessiore 🔁
↦ F. Casolari
46′
46′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ L. Vignali
64′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ A. Čolak
64′
🔁 G. Lapadula
↦ G. Di Serio
E. Matino 🔁
↦ F. DAlessio
66′
Lorenzo Carissoni 🟨
75′
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ O. Okwonkwo
76′
78′
🔁 D. Degli Innocenti
↦ F. Bandinelli
86′
🔁 N. Bertola
↦ S. Elia
Francesco Amatucci 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-1-1
78 L. Maniero G
2 A. Salvi D
13 E. Capradossi D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
17 S. Tronchin M
5 F. Casolari M
8 F. Amatucci M
32 E. Masciangelo M
16 A. Vita F
31 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (11)
7 L. Pandolfi
18 A. Tessiore
6 E. Matino
21 S. Rabbi
45 M. Cardinali
20 D. Voltan
74 A. Sanogo
35 S. Piccinini
11 J. Desogus
28 A. Rizza
64 A. Cecchetto

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Spezia

3-5-2
23 L. Chichizola G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Matějů D
7 S. Elia M
32 L. Vignali M
5 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
20 G. Di Serio F
17 A. Čolak F
Bench (11)
29 F. Cassata
11 D. Falcinelli
10 G. Lapadula
6 D. Degli Innocenti
77 N. Bertola
12 D. Mascardi
65 S. Giorgeschi
82 H. Djankpata
66 S. Gori
80 R. Kouda
36 P. Candelari

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U
3,16
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.