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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Modena
U U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Mantova
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 26
6 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 13. · Mantova 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 24 17 4 3 +28 55
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 24 13 9 2 +23 48
4 Cremonese 23 10 7 6 +10 37
5 Catanzaro 24 7 14 3 +7 35
6 Juve Stabia 24 8 9 7 -3 33
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Cesena 24 8 6 10 -2 30
10 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
11 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Cittadella 24 7 7 10 -14 28
13 Modena 23 5 12 6 -1 27
14 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Sampdoria 24 5 10 9 -7 25
17 Cosenza 24 4 10 10 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -24 Mantova – Modena 0–0

Match report

Modena Mantova
5′
🟨 Antonio Fiori
1–0 G. Caso
A. Palumbo
18′
30′
L. Mancuso 1–1
F. Galuppini
2–1 A. Palumbo
G. Defrel
38′
Half-time 2–1
61′
🟨 Nicolò Radaelli
61′
🔁 F. Ruocco
↦ A. Fiori
C. Cauz 🔁
↦ R. Idrissi
64′
Pedro Mendes 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
64′
70′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ N. Radaelli
72′
🟨 Simone Giordano
73′
🟨 Leonardo Mancuso
E. Duca 🔁
↦ G. Caso
76′
80′
🔁 A. Debenedetti
↦ D. Mensah
80′
🔁 D. Bragantini
↦ F. Galuppini
80′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ S. Burrai
G. Zaro 🔁
↦ A. Di Pardo
88′
G. Beyuku 🔁
↦ M. Cotali
89′
3–1 G. Beyuku
E. Duca
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
25 A. Dellavalle D
29 M. Cotali D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
27 R. Idrissi M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
33 C. Cauz
11 Pedro Mendes
7 E. Duca
19 G. Zaro
2 G. Beyuku
99 T. Alberti
21 K. Bozhanaj
5 T. Battistella
6 L. Magnino
31 Eric Botteghin
1 A. Seculin
9 E. Gliozzi

Coach: P. Mandelli

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
13 F. Brignani D
29 S. Cella D
26 S. Giordano D
21 S. Trimboli M
8 S. Burrai M
14 F. Galuppini M
19 L. Mancuso M
11 A. Fiori M
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (12)
18 F. Ruocco
27 T. Maggioni
9 A. Debenedetti
30 D. Bragantini
10 D. Wieser
12 L. Sonzogni
28 M. Muroni
5 A. Redolfi
20 G. Fedel
87 S. De Maio
24 F. Artioli
4 M. Solini

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,46
B
4,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.