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Serie B
Referee: M Piccinini
Spezia
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 62%
50%
73%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
36%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 3. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Pisa 22 13 6 3 +16 45
3 Spezia 22 11 9 2 +20 42
4 Cremonese 22 10 6 6 +10 36
5 Palermo 22 8 6 8 +4 30
6 Juve Stabia 22 7 9 6 -2 30
7 Catanzaro 22 5 14 3 +4 29
8 Bari 22 6 11 5 +4 29
9 Cesena 22 8 5 9 +0 29
10 Mantova 22 6 9 7 -3 27
11 Carrarese 22 7 6 9 -7 27
12 Modena 22 5 11 6 -1 26
13 Brescia 22 5 10 7 -3 25
14 Reggiana 22 6 7 9 -3 25
15 Cittadella 22 6 7 9 -13 25
16 Cosenza 22 4 10 8 -6 22
17 Sampdoria 22 4 9 9 -8 21
18 Salernitana 22 5 6 11 -10 21
19 Frosinone 22 4 9 9 -13 21
20 Sudtirol 22 5 4 13 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Sassuolo
1–0 L. Vignali
S. Elia
8′
Salvatore Elia 🟨
12′
35′
S. Mulattieri 1–1
A. Laurienté
Giuseppe Di Serio 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Tarik Muharemović
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ D. Boloca
66′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ A. Laurienté
66′
🔁 C. Volpato
↦ S. Mulattieri
66′
🔁 L. Moro
↦ L. Lipani
R. Kouda 🔁
↦ G. Di Serio
67′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ S. Elia
68′
Francesco Pio Esposito 🟨
72′
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
73′
2–1 L. Vignali
R. Kouda
75′
81′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
Aleš Matějů 🟨
85′
N. Bertola 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
87′
90′
🔁 L. Skjellerup
↦ J. Toljan
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
23 L. Chichizola G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Matějů D
32 L. Vignali M
7 S. Elia M
5 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
20 G. Di Serio F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
80 R. Kouda
29 F. Cassata
6 D. Degli Innocenti
77 N. Bertola
44 M. Benvenuto
4 Salvador Ferrer
11 D. Falcinelli
65 S. Giorgeschi
36 P. Candelari
66 S. Gori
17 A. Čolak
31 G. Aurelio

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Sassuolo

4-3-3
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
35 L. Lipani M
11 D. Boloca M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
10 D. Berardi F
9 S. Mulattieri F
45 A. Laurienté F
Bench (12)
14 Pedro Obiang
77 N. Pierini
7 C. Volpato
24 L. Moro
90 L. Skjellerup
28 J. Antiste
15 E. Pieragnolo
91 F. Russo
12 G. Satalino
17 Y. Paz
40 E. Iannoni
20 M. Lovato

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,08
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.