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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Troyes

S T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Caen

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 33%

20%

45%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 16. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	20	12	4	4	+15	40
2	Metz	21	10	8	3	+16	38
3	Paris FC	20	11	4	5	+12	37
4	Dunkerque	21	11	3	7	+5	36
5	Guingamp	20	11	2	7	+11	35
6	Laval	21	9	7	5	+11	34
7	Annecy	21	9	6	6	+1	33
8	Grenoble	21	9	3	9	-1	30
9	Pau FC	21	7	8	6	+1	29
10	Amiens	21	9	2	10	-6	29
11	Bastia	21	5	12	4	+4	27
12	Clermont	21	6	6	9	-5	24
13	Ajaccio	21	7	3	11	-9	24
14	Rodez	21	6	5	10	-3	23
15	Red Star	20	6	4	10	-15	22
16	Troyes	20	6	3	11	-4	21
17	Martigues	21	5	3	13	-23	18
18	Caen	20	4	3	13	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Metz	11	7	4	0	+16	25
3	Dunkerque	11	8	0	3	+7	24
4	Grenoble	11	7	2	2	+8	23
5	Amiens	11	7	2	2	+5	23
6	Guingamp	10	6	2	2	+14	20
7	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
8	Bastia	11	4	7	0	+8	19
9	Pau FC	10	5	4	1	+7	19
10	Annecy	10	6	1	3	+4	19
11	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
12	Ajaccio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
13	Rodez	10	4	1	5	-1	13
14	Clermont	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
16	Caen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
17	Red Star	9	3	2	4	-6	11
18	Martigues	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	5	2	3	+5	17
2	Laval	11	4	4	3	+6	16
3	Guingamp	10	5	0	5	-3	15
4	Annecy	11	3	5	3	-3	14
5	Martigues	10	4	2	4	-9	14
6	Metz	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Clermont	10	4	1	5	-5	13
8	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Lorient	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Red Star	11	3	2	6	-9	11
11	Rodez	11	2	4	5	-2	10
12	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-4	10
13	Pau FC	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Bastia	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Grenoble	10	2	1	7	-9	7
16	Ajaccio	11	2	1	8	-12	7
17	Amiens	10	2	0	8	-11	6
18	Caen	9	1	1	7	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.