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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Kilmarnock
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Dundee United
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Dundee United 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 19 3 1 +53 60
2 Rangers 24 15 5 4 +28 50
3 Dundee United 24 10 7 7 +5 37
4 Aberdeen 25 10 5 10 -6 35
5 Hibernian 25 8 9 8 +0 33
6 Motherwell 24 9 4 11 -10 31
7 Hearts 25 8 6 11 +1 30
8 St Mirren 25 9 3 13 -9 30
9 Dundee 24 7 6 11 -10 27
10 Ross County 24 6 8 10 -19 26
11 Kilmarnock 24 6 7 11 -13 25
12 ST Johnstone 25 6 3 16 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Dec -24 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 28. Sep -24 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–3 24. May -23 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 0–3 1. Feb -23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 9. Nov -22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee United
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ B. Lyons
32′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Emmanuel Adegboyega
R. Deas 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
55′
Danny Armstrong 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 L. Fiorini
↦ L. Stephenson
70′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ R. Paton
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
71′
1–0 M. Watkins ⚽
72′
77′
🟨 Will Ferry
82′
🔁 K. Trapanovski
↦ A. Campbell
82′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ E. Adegboyega
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ D. Watson
90′
C. Ramsay 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 K. O'Hara G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
16 K. Magennis M
15 F. Murray M
24 B. Wales F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
31 L. Polworth
6 R. Deas
19 B. Anderson
22 L. Donnelly
21 C. Ramsay
30 A. Glavin
14 G. Mackay-Steven
7 R. McKenzie
25 E. Brown

Coach: D. McInnes

Dundee United

3-4-1-2
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
2 R. Strain M
5 V. Ševelj M
22 A. Campbell M
11 W. Ferry M
17 L. Stephenson F
19 S. Dalby F
21 R. Paton F
Bench (9)
8 L. Fiorini
9 L. Moult
7 K. Trapanovski
15 G. Middleton
25 D. Richards
6 R. Graham
10 D. Babunski
20 J. van der Sande
23 R. Docherty

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
2,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,00
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.