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Ligue 1
Referee: A Kherradji
Monaco
U T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Auxerre
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
32%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,62 xG 1,48
57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 3. · Auxerre 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 15 5 0 +35 +33.8 50
2 Marseille 19 11 4 4 +17 +4.9 37
3 Monaco 19 10 4 5 +10 +20.8 34
4 Nice 19 9 6 4 +13 +11.2 33
5 Lens 20 9 6 5 +7 +10.1 33
6 Lille 19 8 8 3 +10 +6.4 32
7 Lyon 19 8 6 5 +7 +5.7 30
8 Brest 20 9 1 10 -5 -12.1 28
9 Strasbourg 19 7 6 6 +2 -8.1 27
10 Toulouse 19 7 4 8 -1 +8.6 25
11 Auxerre 19 6 5 8 -4 -10.5 23
12 Reims 19 5 7 7 -2 -7.4 22
13 Angers 19 6 4 9 -7 -5.0 22
14 Nantes 19 3 9 7 -7 -8.0 18
15 St Etienne 19 5 3 11 -21 -18.1 18
16 Rennes 19 5 2 12 -4 -0.6 17
17 Montpellier 20 4 3 13 -26 -16.2 15
18 Le Havre 19 4 1 14 -24 -15.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Auxerre
30′
🟨 Paul Joly
1–0 T. Kehrer
35′
38′
S. Diomandé 1–1
E. Owusu
Half-time 1–1
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
46′
S. Magassa 🔁
↦ L. Camara
46′
Caio Henrique 🔁
↦ C. Mawissa
46′
Denis Zakaria 🟨
49′
52′
Jubal 1–2
2–2 M. Biereth
B. Embolo
57′
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ Vanderson
62′
3–2 M. Biereth
Caio Henrique
63′
4–2 M. Biereth
B. Embolo
65′
71′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
75′
🔁 K. Hoever
↦ P. Joly
76′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ L. Sinayoko
76′
🔁 A. Onaiwu
↦ H. Massengo
76′
🔁 F. Ayé
↦ C. Akpa
Soungoutou Magassa 🟨
82′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
87′
88′
🔁 F. Oppegård
↦ G. Mensah
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
13 C. Mawissa D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
14 M. Biereth F
Bench (9)
36 B. Embolo
88 S. Magassa
12 Caio Henrique
27 K. Diatta
7 E. Ben Seghir
41 L. Michal
16 P. Köhn
20 K. Ouattara
28 M. Coulibaly

Coach: A. Hütter

Auxerre

5-4-1
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
20 S. Diomandé D
4 Jubal D
92 C. Akpa D
14 G. Mensah D
10 G. Perrin M
42 E. Owusu M
80 H. Massengo M
25 H. Traoré M
17 L. Sinayoko F
Bench (9)
23 K. Hoever
18 A. Dioussé
45 A. Onaiwu
19 F. Ayé
12 F. Oppegård
6 S. Agouzoul
3 G. Osho
9 T. Bair
40 T. De Percin

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,48
B
8,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.