Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St Pauli
Augsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +42 | +34.6 | 48 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | +20 | +17.3 | 42 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +18 | +8.3 | 37 |
| 4 |
Stuttgart
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +8 | +10.7 | 32 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +5 | -6.4 | 32 |
| 6 |
Mainz
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +9 | -1.5 | 31 |
| 7 |
Werder Bremen
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | -2 | +1.8 | 30 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +8 | -2.0 | 28 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | +1 | -4.3 | 27 |
| 10 |
Freiburg
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | -10 | -2.1 | 27 |
| 11 |
Dortmund
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +1 | +2.3 | 26 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -11 | -6.7 | 25 |
| 13 |
St Pauli
|
19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | -4 | -4.8 | 20 |
| 14 |
Union Berlin
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -11 | -4.6 | 20 |
| 15 |
Hoffenheim
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -12 | -9.6 | 18 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -16 | -5.5 | 14 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -20 | -11.6 | 12 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | -26 | -15.9 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Wahl
D
E. Smith
D
D. Nemeth
D
M. Saliakas
M
P. Treu
M
J. Eggestein
F
N. Weißhaupt
F
Coach: A. Blessin
F. Dahmen
G
C. Matsima
D
J. Gouweleeuw
D
N. Banks
D
M. Wolf
M
F. Onyeka
M
K. Jakić
M
D. Giannoulis
M
E. Rexhbeçaj
F
A. Claude-Maurice
F
S. Essende
F
Coach: J. Thorup
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Heidenheim
St Pauli
Bochum
St Pauli
St Pauli
Ein Frankfurt
Stuttgart
St Pauli
T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.