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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
St Pauli
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
37%
63%
Both score Ø 37%
21%
53%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,80 xG 0,32
45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 2
1 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 13. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 15 3 1 +42 +34.6 48
2 Leverkusen 19 12 6 1 +20 +17.3 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 19 11 4 4 +18 +8.3 37
4 Stuttgart 19 9 5 5 +8 +10.7 32
5 RB Leipzig 19 9 5 5 +5 -6.4 32
6 Mainz 20 9 4 7 +9 -1.5 31
7 Werder Bremen 20 8 6 6 -2 +1.8 30
8 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 +8 -2.0 28
9 M'gladbach 19 8 3 8 +1 -4.3 27
10 Freiburg 19 8 3 8 -10 -2.1 27
11 Dortmund 19 7 5 7 +1 +2.3 26
12 Augsburg 19 7 4 8 -11 -6.7 25
13 St Pauli 19 6 2 11 -4 -4.8 20
14 Union Berlin 19 5 5 9 -11 -4.6 20
15 Hoffenheim 19 4 6 9 -12 -9.6 18
16 Heidenheim 19 4 2 13 -16 -5.5 14
17 Holstein Kiel 19 3 3 13 -20 -11.6 12
18 Bochum 19 2 4 13 -26 -15.9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -24 Augsburg – St Pauli 3–1

Match report

St Pauli Augsburg
0–1 N. Banks
own goal
17′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Maier
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
60′
🟨 Dimitrios Giannoulis
O. Afolayan 🔁
↦ M. Guilavogui
61′
61′
🔁 P. Tietz
↦ S. Essende
Johannes Eggestein 🟨
67′
70′
🟨 Noahkai Banks
70′
🔁 R. Gumny
↦ M. Wolf
70′
🔁 M. Kömür
↦ F. Onyeka
79′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ N. Banks
D. Sinani 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
80′
S. Van der Heyden 🔁
↦ M. Saliakas
80′
83′
M. Kömür 0–2
D. Giannoulis
E. Saad 🔁
↦ N. Weißhaupt
88′
91′
🟨 Robert Gumny
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
5 H. Wahl D
8 E. Smith D
4 D. Nemeth D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
6 J. Sands M
23 P. Treu M
29 M. Guilavogui F
11 J. Eggestein F
13 N. Weißhaupt F
Bench (9)
17 O. Afolayan
10 D. Sinani
44 S. Van der Heyden
26 E. Saad
16 C. Boukhalfa
25 A. Dźwigała
1 B. Voll
9 A. Ceesay
18 S. Banks

Coach: A. Blessin

Augsburg

3-4-2-1
1 F. Dahmen G
5 C. Matsima D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
40 N. Banks D
11 M. Wolf M
19 F. Onyeka M
17 K. Jakić M
13 D. Giannoulis M
8 E. Rexhbeçaj F
20 A. Claude-Maurice F
9 S. Essende F
Bench (9)
10 A. Maier
21 P. Tietz
2 R. Gumny
36 M. Kömür
15 S. Mounié
22 N. Labrović
31 K. Schlotterbeck
3 M. Pedersen
24 F. Jensen

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,20
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.