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Serie B
Referee: A Arena
Reggiana
S S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Mantova
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 25
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Reggiana Mantova
Riccardo Fiamozzi 🟨
28′
Orji Okwonkwo 🟨
32′
Lorenzo Ignacchiti 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Vergara ⚽
52′
M. Portanova 🔁
↦ O. Okwonkwo
66′
66′
🔁 M. Aramu
↦ D. Wieser
2–0 T. Reinhart ⚽
67′
70′
🟨 Salvatore Burrai
70′
🔁 D. Mensah
↦ L. Mancuso
71′
🔁 D. Bragantini
↦ F. Galuppini
75′
⚽ D. Bragantini 2–1
S. Trimboli
77′
ℹ️ Davide Bragantini
VAR: Goal confirmed
L. Vido 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
77′
L. Cigarini 🔁
↦ T. Reinhart
78′
Paolo Rozzio 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 F. Ruocco
↦ A. Fiori
M. Sampirisi 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
86′
Luca Cigarini 🟨
90′
94′
⚽ A. Meroni 3–1
own goal
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
17 L. Libutti D
25 L. Ignacchiti M
16 T. Reinhart M
5 A. Sersanti M
30 A. Vergara F
11 C. Gondo F
18 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (12)
90 M. Portanova
10 L. Vido
8 L. Cigarini
31 M. Sampirisi
27 M. Maggio
33 D. Stramaccioni
99 A. Sposito
87 Y. Nahounou
29 O. Urso
1 E. Motta
39 G. Cavallini
6 L. Štulac

Coach: W. Viali

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
27 T. Maggioni D
13 F. Brignani D
5 A. Redolfi D
23 E. Panizzi D
21 S. Trimboli M
8 S. Burrai M
14 F. Galuppini M
10 D. Wieser M
11 A. Fiori M
19 L. Mancuso F
Bench (12)
70 M. Aramu
7 D. Mensah
30 D. Bragantini
18 F. Ruocco
12 L. Sonzogni
6 C. Bani
87 S. De Maio
9 A. Debenedetti
28 M. Muroni
4 M. Solini
24 F. Artioli
20 G. Fedel

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
🔒
U ✓
3,13
🔒
B
2,82
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Arena · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.