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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Cremonese

T S U S U

4–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 39/40 matches

Win Ø 47%

49%

45%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

51%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

58%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Catanzaro 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	38	21	13	4	+31	76
2	Venezia	40	23	7	10	+25	76
3	Como	38	21	10	7	+18	73
4	Cremonese	39	19	11	9	+18	68
5	Catanzaro	40	18	10	12	+11	64
6	Palermo	41	16	11	14	+9	59
7	Sampdoria	39	16	9	14	+1	57
8	Brescia	39	12	15	12	+2	51
9	Cosenza	38	11	14	13	+5	47
10	Sudtirol	38	12	11	15	-2	47
11	Modena	38	10	17	11	-6	47
12	Reggiana	38	10	17	11	-7	47
13	Pisa	38	11	13	14	-3	46
14	Cittadella	38	11	13	14	-7	46
15	Bari	40	9	18	13	-8	45
16	Ternana	40	11	11	18	-10	44
17	Spezia	38	9	17	12	-13	44
18	Ascoli	38	9	14	15	-4	41
19	FeralpiSalo	38	8	9	21	-21	33
20	Lecco	38	6	8	24	-39	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	20	14	3	3	+17	45
2	Como	19	12	5	2	+13	41
3	Parma	19	11	7	1	+17	40
4	Catanzaro	21	10	5	6	+8	35
5	Cremonese	19	9	5	5	+11	32
6	Palermo	21	9	4	8	+7	31
7	Brescia	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Bari	20	6	10	4	+2	28
9	Cittadella	19	7	6	6	+3	27
10	Pisa	19	6	8	5	+3	26
11	Sudtirol	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Spezia	19	6	8	5	+1	26
13	Sampdoria	19	7	4	8	+0	25
14	Modena	19	6	6	7	-2	24
15	Ascoli	19	5	8	6	+3	23
16	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	+4	22
17	Ternana	20	5	7	8	-3	22
18	Reggiana	19	3	11	5	-8	20
19	FeralpiSalo	19	3	5	11	-9	14
20	Lecco	19	4	2	13	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	19	10	6	3	+14	36
2	Cremonese	20	10	6	4	+7	36
3	Como	19	9	5	5	+5	32
4	Sampdoria	20	9	5	6	+1	32
5	Venezia	20	9	4	7	+8	31
6	Catanzaro	19	8	5	6	+3	29
7	Palermo	20	7	7	6	+2	28
8	Reggiana	19	7	6	6	+1	27
9	Cosenza	19	6	7	6	+1	25
10	Modena	19	4	11	4	-4	23
11	Brescia	20	5	7	8	-5	22
12	Ternana	20	6	4	10	-7	22
13	Sudtirol	19	5	6	8	-4	21
14	Pisa	19	5	5	9	-6	20
15	Cittadella	19	4	7	8	-10	19
16	FeralpiSalo	19	5	4	10	-12	19
17	Ascoli	19	4	6	9	-7	18
18	Spezia	19	3	9	7	-14	18
19	Bari	20	3	8	9	-10	17
20	Lecco	19	2	6	11	-24	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.