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Serie B
Referee: S Sozza
Venezia
S T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Cremonese
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 53%
56%
49%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
68%
51%
Both score Ø 54%
61%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 1. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 41 23 8 10 +25 77
2 Parma 38 21 13 4 +31 76
3 Como 38 21 10 7 +18 73
4 Cremonese 41 20 12 9 +21 72
5 Catanzaro 41 18 10 13 +8 64
6 Palermo 41 16 11 14 +9 59
7 Sampdoria 39 16 9 14 +1 57
8 Brescia 39 12 15 12 +2 51
9 Cosenza 38 11 14 13 +5 47
10 Sudtirol 38 12 11 15 -2 47
11 Modena 38 10 17 11 -6 47
12 Reggiana 38 10 17 11 -7 47
13 Pisa 38 11 13 14 -3 46
14 Cittadella 38 11 13 14 -7 46
15 Bari 40 9 18 13 -8 45
16 Ternana 40 11 11 18 -10 44
17 Spezia 38 9 17 12 -13 44
18 Ascoli 38 9 14 15 -4 41
19 FeralpiSalo 38 8 9 21 -21 33
20 Lecco 38 6 8 24 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Cremonese
1–0 C. Gytkjær
G. Busio
24′
Marin Šverko 🟨
28′
28′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ C. Buonaiuto
46′
🔁 M. Coda
↦ F. Vázquez
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ C. Gytkjær
56′
Jay Idzes 🟨
58′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ G. Busio
59′
Antonio Candela 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 C. Falletti
↦ L. Zanimacchia
79′
🟨 Leonardo Sernicola
G. Altare 🔁
↦ M. Šverko
80′
M. Kofod Andersen 🔁
↦ B. Bjarkason
80′
A. Dembélé 🔁
↦ A. Candela
80′
84′
🟨 Charles Pickel
86′
🟨 Luca Ravanelli
86′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Sernicola
86′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ V. Antov
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
27 A. Candela M
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
19 B. Bjarkason M
7 F. Zampano M
9 C. Gytkjær F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
10 N. Pierini
24 N. Lella
15 G. Altare
38 M. Kofod Andersen
25 A. Dembélé
12 Bruno
23 M. Grandi
77 M. Ellertsson
21 D. Cheryshev
13 M. Modolo
99 M. Olivieri
18 M. Jajalo

Coach: P. Vanoli

Cremonese

3-5-2
21 G. Saro G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
20 F. Vázquez M
17 L. Sernicola M
74 F. Tsadjout F
10 C. Buonaiuto F
Bench (12)
8 M. Collocolo
90 M. Coda
7 C. Falletti
33 G. Quagliata
9 D. Ciofani
22 A. Jungdal
32 G. Abrego
44 L. Lochoshvili
13 A. Tuia
18 P. Ghiglione
4 L. Marrone
37 Ž. Majer

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.