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Serie B

Referee: D Di Marco

Brescia

S T U U U

4–1

Full-time

Lecco

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 24%

31%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

31%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

21 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 8. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	36	21	11	4	+31	74
2	Como	36	21	8	7	+18	71
3	Venezia	36	20	7	9	+23	67
4	Cremonese	36	18	9	9	+15	63
5	Catanzaro	36	17	9	10	+12	60
6	Palermo	36	14	10	12	+8	52
7	Sampdoria	36	14	9	13	+0	51
8	Brescia	36	11	15	10	+3	48
9	Sudtirol	36	12	10	14	-1	46
10	Reggiana	36	10	16	10	-6	46
11	Cosenza	36	11	12	13	+5	45
12	Pisa	36	11	12	13	-2	45
13	Cittadella	36	11	12	13	-4	45
14	Modena	36	9	16	11	-7	43
15	Spezia	36	8	16	12	-14	40
16	Ascoli	36	8	13	15	-5	37
17	Ternana	36	9	10	17	-9	37
18	Bari	36	7	16	13	-13	37
19	FeralpiSalo	36	8	9	19	-19	33
20	Lecco	36	6	8	22	-35	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	18	12	4	2	+13	40
2	Parma	18	11	6	1	+17	39
3	Venezia	18	12	3	3	+15	39
4	Catanzaro	18	9	4	5	+8	31
5	Cremonese	18	8	5	5	+8	29
6	Palermo	18	8	3	7	+6	27
7	Brescia	18	6	8	4	+4	26
8	Cittadella	18	7	5	6	+3	26
9	Sudtirol	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Pisa	18	6	7	5	+3	25
11	Bari	18	5	9	4	+0	24
12	Spezia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
13	Modena	18	6	5	7	-2	23
14	Sampdoria	18	6	4	8	-1	22
15	Cosenza	18	5	6	7	+4	21
16	Ascoli	18	4	8	6	+2	20
17	Ternana	18	4	7	7	-1	19
18	Reggiana	18	3	10	5	-8	19
19	FeralpiSalo	18	3	5	10	-8	14
20	Lecco	18	4	2	12	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	10	5	3	+14	35
2	Cremonese	18	10	4	4	+7	34
3	Como	18	9	4	5	+5	31
4	Catanzaro	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Sampdoria	18	8	5	5	+1	29
6	Venezia	18	8	4	6	+8	28
7	Reggiana	18	7	6	5	+2	27
8	Palermo	18	6	7	5	+2	25
9	Cosenza	18	6	6	6	+1	24
10	Brescia	18	5	7	6	-1	22
11	Sudtirol	18	5	5	8	-4	20
12	Pisa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
13	Modena	18	3	11	4	-5	20
14	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-7	19
15	FeralpiSalo	18	5	4	9	-11	19
16	Ternana	18	5	3	10	-8	18
17	Ascoli	18	4	5	9	-7	17
18	Spezia	18	3	8	7	-14	17
19	Bari	18	2	7	9	-13	13
20	Lecco	18	2	6	10	-21	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.