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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Rangers
S U T U S
4–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 56%
74%
38%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
41%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

74% Possession 26%
41 Shots 5
15 Shots on target 2
17 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
16 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rangers 2. · Kilmarnock 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 26 6 3 +58 84
2 Rangers 34 25 3 6 +50 78
3 Hearts 35 19 6 10 +9 63
4 Kilmarnock 34 13 13 8 +9 52
5 St Mirren 35 13 7 15 -4 46
6 Hibernian 35 10 12 13 -6 42
7 Aberdeen 35 10 11 14 -12 41
8 Dundee 35 10 11 14 -13 41
9 Motherwell 35 9 13 13 -3 40
10 Ross County 35 8 9 18 -25 33
11 ST Johnstone 35 7 10 18 -25 31
12 Livingston 35 4 9 22 -38 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Kilmarnock
Dujon Sterling ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
4′
9′
🟨 Corrie Ndaba
12′
J. Tavernier 1–0
own goal
Dujon Sterling ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
22′
22′
🟥 Joe Wright
25′
🔁 R. Deas
↦ D. Armstrong
Half-time 1–0
B. Davies 🔁
↦ L. Balogun
46′
2–0 Fábio Silva
J. Lundstram
53′
55′
🟨 Marley Watkins
3–0 B. Davies
62′
64′
🟨 Liam Polworth
66′
🔁 K. van Veen
↦ M. Watkins
66′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ L. Polworth
66′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ K. Vassell
R. McCausland 🔁
↦ D. Sterling
68′
T. Lawrence 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
68′
4–0 T. Lawrence
R. McCausland
71′
R. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ B. Barišić
79′
N. Raskin 🔁
↦ J. Lundstram
79′
79′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ B. Lyons
5–0 J. Souttar
93′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
27 L. Balogun D
5 J. Souttar D
31 B. Barišić D
42 M. Diomandé M
4 J. Lundstram M
21 D. Sterling M
13 T. Cantwell M
7 Fábio Silva M
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (9)
26 B. Davies
45 R. McCausland
11 T. Lawrence
3 R. Yılmaz
43 N. Raskin
23 S. Wright
20 K. Dowell
28 R. McCrorie
25 K. Roofe

Coach: P. Clement

Kilmarnock

4-4-1-1
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
6 R. Deas
99 K. van Veen
12 D. Watson
8 B. Lyons
7 R. McKenzie
39 G. Mackay-Steven
20 K. O'Hara
15 F. Murray
18 I. Cameron

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,13
B
10,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.