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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Elfsborg

S T T T S

3–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19% Possession 81%

10 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 12. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+17	+6.8	18
2	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.4	13
3	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-3	-3.6	12
4	Mjallby	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.0	11
5	AIK	6	3	2	1	+0	-2.2	11
6	Djurgarden	6	3	1	2	+3	+1.2	10
7	Norrkoping	6	3	1	2	-3	-4.1	10
8	Brommapojkarna	7	2	3	2	+2	+2.5	9
9	Hammarby	6	3	0	3	+2	+1.0	9
10	GAIS	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.4	9
11	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.8	7
12	Elfsborg	6	2	1	3	-3	+2.5	7
13	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-4	+2.0	7
14	Kalmar	7	2	0	5	-2	-2.9	6
15	Varnamo	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.5	4
16	Vasteras SK	6	1	0	5	-4	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
2	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.0	9
3	AIK	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.3	9
4	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
5	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
6	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
7	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
8	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
9	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.8	4
10	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
11	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
12	Vasteras SK	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
13	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.4	7
3	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
4	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
5	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
6	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
7	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
8	Norrkoping	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.9	4
9	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.0	4
10	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
11	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
12	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.