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Serie B

Referee: P Tremolada

Lecco

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 27%

17%

37%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecco 20. · Sampdoria 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	35	21	10	4	+31	73
2	Como	36	21	8	7	+18	71
3	Venezia	36	20	7	9	+23	67
4	Cremonese	36	18	9	9	+15	63
5	Catanzaro	36	17	9	10	+12	60
6	Palermo	36	14	10	12	+8	52
7	Sampdoria	35	13	9	13	-1	48
8	Brescia	35	11	14	10	+3	47
9	Sudtirol	36	12	10	14	-1	46
10	Cosenza	36	11	12	13	+5	45
11	Pisa	36	11	12	13	-2	45
12	Cittadella	36	11	12	13	-4	45
13	Modena	35	9	16	10	-6	43
14	Reggiana	35	9	16	10	-7	43
15	Spezia	36	8	16	12	-14	40
16	Ascoli	36	8	13	15	-5	37
17	Ternana	36	9	10	17	-9	37
18	Bari	35	7	15	13	-13	36
19	FeralpiSalo	35	8	8	19	-19	32
20	Lecco	35	6	8	21	-34	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	18	12	4	2	+13	40
2	Parma	18	11	6	1	+17	39
3	Venezia	18	12	3	3	+15	39
4	Catanzaro	18	9	4	5	+8	31
5	Cremonese	18	8	5	5	+8	29
6	Palermo	18	8	3	7	+6	27
7	Brescia	18	6	8	4	+4	26
8	Cittadella	18	7	5	6	+3	26
9	Sudtirol	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Pisa	18	6	7	5	+3	25
11	Bari	17	5	8	4	+0	23
12	Spezia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
13	Modena	18	6	5	7	-2	23
14	Sampdoria	18	6	4	8	-1	22
15	Cosenza	18	5	6	7	+4	21
16	Ascoli	18	4	8	6	+2	20
17	Ternana	18	4	7	7	-1	19
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	17	4	2	11	-13	14
20	FeralpiSalo	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	18	10	4	4	+7	34
3	Como	18	9	4	5	+5	31
4	Catanzaro	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Venezia	18	8	4	6	+8	28
6	Reggiana	18	7	6	5	+2	27
7	Sampdoria	17	7	5	5	+0	26
8	Palermo	18	6	7	5	+2	25
9	Cosenza	18	6	6	6	+1	24
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	18	5	5	8	-4	20
12	Modena	17	3	11	3	-4	20
13	Pisa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
14	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-7	19
15	FeralpiSalo	18	5	4	9	-11	19
16	Ternana	18	5	3	10	-8	18
17	Ascoli	18	4	5	9	-7	17
18	Spezia	18	3	8	7	-14	17
19	Bari	18	2	7	9	-13	13
20	Lecco	18	2	6	10	-21	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.