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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Parma
U S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Cremonese
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
58%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Parma 1. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 36 21 11 4 +31 74
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 Brescia 36 11 15 10 +3 48
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Reggiana 36 10 16 10 -6 46
11 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
12 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
13 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
14 Modena 36 9 16 11 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 36 7 16 13 -13 37
19 FeralpiSalo 36 8 9 19 -19 33
20 Lecco 36 6 8 22 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Cremonese
Valentin Mihăilă ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
5′
7′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
Botond Balogh 🟥
14′
18′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
25′
F. Vázquez 0–1
D. Johnsen
Dennis Man ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
31′
Dennis Man 🟨
38′
40′
🟨 Žan Majer
45′
🟨 Charles Pickel
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Castagnetti
↦ Ž. Majer
46′
🔁 L. Sernicola
↦ G. Quagliata
46′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ F. Vázquez
1–1 V. Mihăilă
D. Man
56′
A. Hainaut 🔁
↦ Adrián Bernabé
60′
Antoine Hainaut 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 L. Zanimacchia
↦ P. Ghiglione
G. Charpentier 🔁
↦ A. Bonny
69′
70′
🟨 Charles Pickel
70′
🟥 Charles Pickel
Y. Osorio 🔁
↦ E. Delprato
70′
D. Camara 🔁
↦ V. Mihăilă
78′
L. Chichizola 🔁
↦ E. Corvi
79′
86′
🔁 G. Abrego
↦ M. Collocolo
Alessandro Circati 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Delprato D
4 B. Balogh D
39 A. Circati D
26 W. Coulibaly D
10 Adrián Bernabé M
27 Hernani M
98 D. Man M
19 S. Sohm M
28 V. Mihăilă M
13 A. Bonny F
Bench (12)
20 A. Hainaut
9 G. Charpentier
3 Y. Osorio
23 D. Camara
1 L. Chichizola
17 A. Čolak
14 C. Ansaldi
77 G. Di Chiara
21 A. Partipilo
64 W. Cyprien
22 M. Turk
8 N. Estévez

Coach: F. Pecchia

Cremonese

3-4-2-1
21 G. Saro G
26 V. Antov D
4 L. Marrone D
15 M. Bianchetti D
18 P. Ghiglione M
37 Ž. Majer M
6 C. Pickel M
33 G. Quagliata M
20 F. Vázquez F
71 D. Johnsen F
74 F. Tsadjout F
Bench (12)
19 M. Castagnetti
17 L. Sernicola
8 M. Collocolo
98 L. Zanimacchia
32 G. Abrego
10 C. Buonaiuto
24 G. Della Rovere
7 C. Falletti
90 M. Coda
31 Y. Rocchetti
22 A. Jungdal
9 D. Ciofani

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,46
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.