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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Midtjylland

T S U T T

3–2

Full-time

Brondby

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 59%

59%

Points per game

1,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

63%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 4. · Brondby 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	27	16	8	3	+26	+6.7	56
2	FC Copenhagen	28	17	4	7	+26	+16.8	55
3	Nordsjaelland	28	15	8	5	+24	+4.5	53
4	Midtjylland	27	16	4	7	+16	+13.2	52
5	Aarhus	28	9	11	8	-4	+3.6	38
6	Viborg	28	10	7	11	-7	-3.7	37
7	Randers FC	28	8	10	10	-8	+0.6	34
8	Silkeborg	28	9	5	14	-7	+6.9	32
9	Lyngby	28	7	8	13	-16	-5.8	29
10	Odense	27	6	8	13	-11	-7.4	26
11	Vejle	27	5	9	13	-8	-18.7	24
12	Hvidovre IF	28	4	6	18	-31	-16.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	14	8	5	1	+17	+5.7	29
2	FC Copenhagen	14	9	1	4	+15	+12.8	28
3	Midtjylland	13	8	3	2	+14	+9.1	27
4	Brondby	13	8	3	2	+14	+7.1	27
5	Viborg	14	7	4	3	+6	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	15	5	7	3	+4	+1.2	22
7	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	+2	+7.9	21
8	Aarhus	14	5	4	5	-3	+3.0	19
9	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.5	17
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-1	-5.6	13
11	Hvidovre IF	14	1	2	11	-21	-4.8	5
12	Odense	14	0	3	11	-18	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	14	8	5	1	+12	-0.4	29
2	FC Copenhagen	14	8	3	3	+11	+4.0	27
3	Midtjylland	14	8	1	5	+2	+4.0	25
4	Nordsjaelland	14	7	3	4	+7	-1.2	24
5	Odense	13	6	5	2	+7	-4.0	23
6	Aarhus	14	4	7	3	-1	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	15	4	5	6	-6	-2.9	17
8	Hvidovre IF	14	3	4	7	-10	-11.7	13
9	Viborg	14	3	3	8	-13	-2.6	12
10	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-7	-13.1	11
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-9	-1.0	11
12	Lyngby	13	2	1	10	-20	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.