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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Warta Poznan
U T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,05 xG 0,94
39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Warta Poznan 14. · Widzew Lodz 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 31 16 8 7 +26 +14.8 56
2 Slask Wroclaw 31 15 9 7 +12 +5.7 54
3 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +8 -5.7 52
4 Gornik Zabrze 31 15 6 10 +5 -8.0 51
5 Legia 30 13 11 6 +12 +9.3 50
6 Rakow 31 13 10 8 +17 +20.8 49
7 Pogon Szczecin 30 14 6 10 +20 +13.4 48
8 Widzew Lodz 30 12 6 12 +0 -3.2 42
9 Stal Mielec 31 11 8 12 -5 -13.5 41
10 Zaglebie 31 11 8 12 -9 +2.6 41
11 Piast Gliwice 30 8 14 8 +0 +13.2 38
12 Cracovia 31 7 15 9 +3 +0.0 36
13 Radomiak Radom 30 9 8 13 -14 -4.4 35
14 Warta Poznan 30 8 10 12 -6 -9.1 34
15 Puszcza 30 7 12 11 -11 -14.8 33
16 Korona Kielce 30 6 13 11 -4 -0.6 31
17 Ruch Chorzow 31 4 14 13 -17 -6.0 26
18 LKS Lodz 31 5 6 20 -37 -14.5 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Warta Poznan Widzew Lodz
0–1 A. Cigaņiks
own goal
9′
1–1 M. Kupczak
K. Szmyt
12′
T. Přikryl 🔁
↦ M. Żurawski
16′
20′
🟨 Jordi Sánchez
25′
ℹ️ Jordi Sánchez
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Jordi Sánchez 1–2
A. Klimek
Half-time 1–2
F. Borowski 🔁
↦ M. Mezghrani
46′
46′
🔁 D. Kun
↦ N. Diliberto
46′
🔁 M. Miloš
↦ S. Szota
62′
🔁 Fábio Nunes
↦ A. Cigaņiks
62′
🔁 I. Rondić
↦ A. Klimek
S. Savić 🔁
↦ Miguel Luís
72′
Konrad Matuszewski 🟨
78′
D. Vizinger 🔁
↦ A. Zreľák
80′
J. Kiełb 🔁
↦ K. Matuszewski
80′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
33 J. Grobelny G
2 J. Bartkowski D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
14 B. Țîru D
20 M. Mezghrani M
21 M. Kupczak M
6 M. Żurawski M
22 K. Matuszewski M
99 A. Zreľák F
16 Miguel Luís F
7 K. Szmyt F
Bench (9)
47 T. Přikryl
28 F. Borowski
77 S. Savić
29 D. Vizinger
3 J. Kiełb
15 M. Kopczyński
9 M. Eppel
1 A. Lis
24 P. Rychlik

Coach: D. Szulczek

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
5 S. Szota D
4 M. Żyro D
15 Juan Ibiza D
2 Luís Silva D
44 N. Diliberto M
10 Fran Álvarez M
19 B. Pawłowski M
14 A. Cigaņiks F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
47 A. Klimek F
Bench (9)
22 D. Kun
7 M. Miloš
92 Fábio Nunes
99 I. Rondić
78 K. Cybulski
23 P. Zieliński
35 I. Krajčírik
62 L. Kastrati
8 D. Tkacz

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.