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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Vasteras SK
T T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Djurgarden
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vasteras SK 16. · Djurgarden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 6 6 0 0 +17 +6.8 18
2 Hacken 7 4 1 2 +4 -1.4 13
3 Halmstad 7 4 0 3 -3 -3.6 12
4 Mjallby 7 3 2 2 +3 +1.0 11
5 AIK 6 3 2 1 +0 -2.2 11
6 Djurgarden 6 3 1 2 +3 +1.2 10
7 Norrkoping 6 3 1 2 -3 -4.1 10
8 Brommapojkarna 7 2 3 2 +2 +2.5 9
9 Hammarby 6 3 0 3 +2 +1.0 9
10 GAIS 6 3 0 3 -3 +0.4 9
11 Goteborg 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.8 7
12 Elfsborg 6 2 1 3 -3 +2.5 7
13 Sirius 7 2 1 4 -4 +2.0 7
14 Kalmar 7 2 0 5 -2 -2.9 6
15 Varnamo 6 1 1 4 -8 -4.5 4
16 Vasteras SK 6 1 0 5 -4 +2.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vasteras SK Djurgarden
23′
🟨 Samuel Leach Holm
31′
S. Leach Holm 0–1
O. Fallenius
Max Larsson 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Hümmet
↦ G. Wikheim
46′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ L. Bergvall
52′
🟨 Marcus Danielson
54′
O. Fallenius 0–2
A. Ekdal
64′
🔁 M. Eriksson
↦ S. Leach Holm
I. Jönsson 🔁
↦ F. Nsabiyumva
65′
H. Offia 🔁
↦ S. Johansson
79′
I. Diabate 🔁
↦ J. Ali
79′
J. Magnusson 🔁
↦ M. Ahlinvi
79′
79′
🔁 P. Therkildsen
↦ O. Fallenius
80′
🔁 J. Une Larsson
↦ A. Ekdal
Pedro Ribeiro 🔁
↦ M. Larsson
85′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vasteras SK

3-4-3
35 J. Brattberg G
23 M. Marqués D
18 F. Nsabiyumva D
3 A. Douglas D
11 S. Gefvert M
24 M. Linday M
22 P. Åslund M
44 M. Larsson M
6 S. Johansson F
9 J. Ali F
8 M. Ahlinvi F
Bench (9)
31 I. Jönsson
20 H. Offia
17 I. Diabate
19 J. Magnusson
7 Pedro Ribeiro
4 U. Aras
15 S. Asoma
34 E. Wahl
2 H. Magnusson

Coach: K. Karlsson

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
5 M. Tenho D
3 M. Danielson D
26 S. Dahl D
8 A. Ekdal M
10 S. Leach Holm M
23 G. Wikheim M
21 L. Bergvall M
15 O. Fallenius M
16 T. Gulliksen F
Bench (9)
11 D. Hümmet
9 H. Radetinac
7 M. Eriksson
17 P. Therkildsen
4 J. Une Larsson
27 K. Kosugi
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist
22 M. Qurbanlı
31 R. Nehrman

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.