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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Zaragoza
S T U S U
1–3
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 36%
30%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
24%
51%
Both score Ø 42%
41%
43%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 38 20 7 11 +15 67
2 Leganes 37 17 13 7 +26 64
3 Eibar 38 19 7 12 +23 64
4 Espanol 38 15 16 7 +15 61
5 Oviedo 38 15 13 10 +14 58
6 Santander 38 16 10 12 +7 58
7 Elche 38 16 10 12 +3 58
8 Sp Gijon 38 15 11 12 +5 56
9 Levante 38 13 16 9 +4 55
10 Ferrol 37 14 12 11 -1 54
11 Burgos 37 15 9 13 -2 54
12 Tenerife 37 13 10 14 -3 49
13 Cartagena 38 13 9 16 -10 48
14 Zaragoza 37 11 13 13 +1 46
15 Albacete 38 11 12 15 -7 45
16 Mirandes 38 11 11 16 -8 44
17 Eldense 37 10 13 14 -10 43
18 Huesca 38 9 15 14 +1 42
19 Alcorcon 38 10 11 17 -20 41
20 Villarreal B 38 10 9 19 -19 39
21 Amorebieta 38 9 11 18 -18 38
22 Andorra 38 9 10 19 -16 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Burgos
Fran Gámez 🟨
21′
28′
Joni Montiel 0–1
Borja González
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Jaume Grau
Toni Moya
46′
Jair Amador 🔁
↦ Lluís López
46′
46′
Curro Sánchez 1–2
Fer Niño
55′
🟨 Borja Gonzalez Tejada
64′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Álex Bermejo
75′
🔁 Grego Sierra
↦ Miki Muñoz
84′
Álex Sancris 1–3
Borja González
90′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Borja González
A. Zedadka 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
91′
Marcos Cuenca 🔁
↦ Germán Valera
91′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Maikel Mesa
91′
91′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Fer Niño
91′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Joni Montiel
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zaragoza

5-4-1
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
15 S. Mouriño D
24 Lluís López D
6 Alejandro Francés D
7 Germán Valera D
33 Adrian Liso M
21 Toni Moya M
5 Jaume Grau M
11 Maikel Mesa M
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (10)
3 Jair Amador
2 A. Zedadka
34 Marcos Cuenca
23 Sergi Enrich
25 Edgar Badia
41 Lucas Terrer
19 Manu Vallejo
12 S. Bakış
30 Pablo Cortés
13 G. Poussin

Coach: Victor Fernández

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
4 A. Arroyo D
21 Joni Montiel M
12 K. Appin M
22 Miki Muñoz M
10 Álex Bermejo M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (6)
11 Álex Sancris
20 Grego Sierra
19 Edu Espiau
7 Dani Ojeda
8 Ander Martín
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
U
2,96
B ✓
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,68
U2,5
1,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.