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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Lechner

Elversberg

T U S U T

4–2

Full-time

Hertha

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,8

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

35%

39%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

65%

77%

Both score Ø 68%

65%

71%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 19

9 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

3 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 10. · Hertha 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	32	18	9	5	+23	63
2	Holstein Kiel	31	19	4	8	+24	61
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	17	8	7	+31	59
4	Hamburg	32	16	7	9	+18	55
5	Karlsruhe	32	14	10	8	+18	52
6	Hannover	31	11	13	7	+14	46
7	Paderborn	31	13	7	11	-1	46
8	Greuther Furth	32	13	7	12	-1	46
9	Hertha	31	12	9	10	+11	45
10	Elversberg	31	11	7	13	-10	40
11	Magdeburg	32	9	10	13	-7	37
12	Schalke 04	31	10	7	14	-10	37
13	Nurnberg	32	10	7	15	-21	37
14	Kaiserslautern	32	10	6	16	-8	36
15	Braunschweig	32	10	5	17	-12	35
16	Wehen	31	8	8	15	-11	32
17	Hansa Rostock	32	9	4	19	-25	31
18	Osnabruck	31	5	10	16	-33	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Hamburg	16	11	0	5	+14	33
3	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
4	Greuther Furth	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+10	30
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+9	28
7	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
8	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
9	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+15	27
10	Magdeburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
11	Kaiserslautern	16	7	2	7	+0	23
12	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+0	22
13	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Hansa Rostock	16	6	2	8	-6	20
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-9	19
17	Wehen	15	4	5	6	-5	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Hamburg	16	5	7	4	+4	22
6	Elversberg	16	6	3	7	-6	21
7	Karlsruhe	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
9	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
10	Nurnberg	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
12	Greuther Furth	16	4	3	9	-12	15
13	Magdeburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Kaiserslautern	16	3	4	9	-8	13
15	Braunschweig	16	4	1	11	-11	13
16	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
17	Osnabruck	16	2	5	9	-23	11
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.