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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Lecco
T T U U S
1–2
Full-time
Venezia
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 37%
18%
55%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 3
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 20. · Venezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 34 20 10 4 +27 70
2 Como 34 20 7 7 +17 67
3 Venezia 33 18 7 8 +22 61
4 Cremonese 33 17 8 8 +15 59
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 34 14 10 10 +10 52
7 Brescia 34 11 13 10 +3 46
8 Sampdoria 33 13 7 13 -1 46
9 Pisa 34 11 11 12 -1 44
10 Cittadella 33 11 10 12 -3 43
11 Sudtirol 33 11 9 13 -1 42
12 Modena 34 8 16 10 -7 40
13 Reggiana 34 8 16 10 -8 40
14 Cosenza 34 9 12 13 +1 39
15 Ternana 34 9 10 15 -7 37
16 Bari 34 7 15 12 -10 36
17 Spezia 33 7 14 12 -15 35
18 Ascoli 34 7 13 14 -5 34
19 FeralpiSalo 34 8 7 19 -19 31
20 Lecco 33 6 8 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -23 Venezia – Lecco 2–2

Match report

Lecco Venezia
1–0 N. Buso
A. Caporale
22′
33′
🟨 Joel Pohjanpalo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Gytkjær
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
46′
🔁 F. Zampano
↦ A. Candela
46′
🔁 G. Altare
↦ M. Šverko
58′
J. Pohjanpalo 1–1
N. Pierini
60′
G. Busio 1–2
G. Altare
66′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ N. Pierini
Franco Lepore 🟨
68′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ D. Degli Innocenti
70′
M. Frigerio 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
71′
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ A. Novakovich
75′
Vedran Celjak 🟥
77′
G. Lunetta 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
82′
Vittorio Parigini 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lecco

4-3-3
1 R. Melgrati G
32 F. Lepore D
2 V. Celjak D
6 A. Bianconi D
17 A. Caporale D
8 A. Sersanti M
5 D. Degli Innocenti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
21 G. Crociata F
90 A. Novakovich F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
14 V. Parigini
26 M. Frigerio
45 R. Inglese
7 G. Lunetta
96 G. Galli
10 E. Salcedo
13 E. Capradossi
44 D. Guglielmotti
68 M. Ierardi
11 H. Salomaa
83 M. Lemmens
22 U. Saracco

Coach: A. Malgrati

Venezia

3-5-2
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
27 A. Candela M
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
19 B. Bjarkason M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
10 N. Pierini F
Bench (12)
9 C. Gytkjær
7 F. Zampano
15 G. Altare
18 M. Jajalo
99 M. Olivieri
25 A. Dembélé
24 N. Lella
21 D. Cheryshev
12 Bruno
31 M. Ullmann
23 M. Grandi
77 M. Ellertsson

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,45
U
3,76
B ✓
1,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.