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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Ternana
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Catanzaro
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 36%
25%
47%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 17. · Catanzaro 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 36 21 11 4 +31 74
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 Brescia 36 11 15 10 +3 48
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Reggiana 36 10 16 10 -6 46
11 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
12 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
13 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
14 Modena 36 9 16 11 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 36 7 16 13 -13 37
19 FeralpiSalo 36 8 9 19 -19 33
20 Lecco 36 6 8 22 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -23 Catanzaro – Ternana 2–1

Match report

Ternana Catanzaro
Tiago Casasola 🟨
5′
34′
🟨 Jari Vandeputte
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Jacopo Petriccione
55′
🟨 Simone Pontisso
59′
🔁 A. Donnarumma
↦ P. Iemmello
59′
🔁 M. Stoppa
↦ J. Vandeputte
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ F. Carboni
66′
69′
🔁 M. Pompetti
↦ S. Pontisso
69′
🔁 K. Miranda
↦ A. Oliveri
F. Viviani 🔁
↦ G. Faticanti
73′
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
73′
1–0 F. Distefano
78′
R. Zoia 🔁
↦ F. Distefano
83′
92′
🔁 L. Verna
↦ M. Šitum
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-5-2
18 T. Vitali G
15 T. Casasola D
6 C. Dalle Mura D
44 L. Lucchesi D
27 C. Favasuli M
71 G. Luperini M
72 L. Amatucci M
16 G. Faticanti M
79 F. Carboni M
10 G. Pereiro F
28 F. Distefano F
Bench (11)
65 F. Dionisi
24 F. Viviani
9 A. Raimondo
3 R. Zoia
22 D. Franchi
76 F. Novelli
2 M. Bonugli
25 J. Łabojko
21 C. Ferrara
8 K. de Boer
4 F. Sørensen

Coach: R. Breda

Catanzaro

4-4-2
1 A. Fulignati G
92 M. Šitum D
14 S. Scognamillo D
4 Matias Antonini D
72 D. Veroli D
33 A. Oliveri M
20 S. Pontisso M
10 J. Petriccione M
27 J. Vandeputte M
28 T. Biasci F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (11)
99 A. Donnarumma
19 M. Stoppa
21 M. Pompetti
44 K. Miranda
8 L. Verna
17 E. Brignola
40 G. Rafele
16 A. Sala
22 E. Borrelli
32 L. Krajnc
41 A. Viotti

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,43
B
2,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.