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Serie B
Referee: N Baroni
Venezia
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Brescia
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
53%
34%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
69%
31%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 4. · Brescia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 33 20 9 4 +27 69
2 Como 33 19 7 7 +14 64
3 Cremonese 33 17 8 8 +15 59
4 Venezia 32 17 7 8 +20 58
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 33 14 9 10 +10 51
7 Sampdoria 33 13 7 13 -1 46
8 Brescia 32 11 12 9 +5 45
9 Pisa 33 11 10 12 -1 43
10 Cittadella 33 11 10 12 -3 43
11 Sudtirol 33 11 9 13 -1 42
12 Reggiana 33 8 16 9 -4 40
13 Modena 33 8 15 10 -7 39
14 Cosenza 33 8 12 13 -3 36
15 Ternana 33 9 9 15 -7 36
16 Bari 33 7 14 12 -10 35
17 Spezia 33 7 14 12 -15 35
18 Ascoli 33 7 12 14 -5 33
19 FeralpiSalo 33 8 7 18 -16 31
20 Lecco 33 6 8 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Brescia
1–0 T. Tessmann
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Nicolas Galazzi
46′
🔁 M. Fares
↦ F. Paghera
Marin Šverko 🟨
51′
54′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
58′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ N. Galazzi
59′
🔁 A. Papetti
↦ M. Mangraviti
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ C. Gytkjær
66′
F. Zampano 🔁
↦ M. Ellertsson
66′
76′
🔁 M. Bertagnoli
↦ M. Besaggio
G. Altare 🔁
↦ B. Bjarkason
77′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ J. Idzes
78′
83′
🔁 T. van de Looi
↦ A. Cistana
M. Jajalo 🔁
↦ G. Busio
86′
2–0 T. Tessmann
N. Lella
90′
Mato Jajalo 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
27 A. Candela M
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
19 B. Bjarkason M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
9 C. Gytkjær F
Bench (12)
10 N. Pierini
7 F. Zampano
15 G. Altare
24 N. Lella
18 M. Jajalo
21 D. Cheryshev
12 Bruno
13 M. Modolo
25 A. Dembélé
38 M. Kofod Andersen
99 M. Olivieri
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Brescia

4-4-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
18 A. Jallow D
23 N. Galazzi M
25 D. Bisoli M
4 F. Paghera M
39 M. Besaggio M
11 G. Moncini F
9 F. Bianchi F
Bench (10)
6 M. Fares
7 B. Bjarnason
32 A. Papetti
26 M. Bertagnoli
5 T. van de Looi
3 M. Huard
30 M. Avella
31 M. Ferro
16 R. Cartano
21 R. Fogliata

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,67
B
4,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Baroni · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.