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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Palermo

U S U S T

4–2

Full-time

Modena

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,5

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

45%

35%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

55%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 7. · Modena 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	21	13	6	2	+23	45
2	Como	21	11	6	4	+8	39
3	Cremonese	21	11	5	5	+14	38
4	Venezia	20	11	5	4	+13	38
5	Cittadella	21	10	6	5	+5	36
6	Catanzaro	21	10	3	8	+3	33
7	Palermo	20	9	5	6	+7	32
8	Brescia	21	7	8	6	+1	29
9	Modena	20	7	7	6	-4	28
10	Bari	20	5	11	4	+0	26
11	Reggiana	21	5	10	6	-3	25
12	Sampdoria	21	7	4	10	-6	25
13	Sudtirol	21	6	6	9	-1	24
14	Pisa	20	5	8	7	-3	23
15	Cosenza	20	5	6	9	-3	21
16	Ternana	21	5	6	10	-4	21
17	Lecco	20	5	5	10	-11	20
18	Ascoli	20	4	6	10	-7	18
19	FeralpiSalo	21	4	5	12	-16	17
20	Spezia	21	3	8	10	-16	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
2	Venezia	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Cittadella	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Como	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Catanzaro	10	6	1	3	+6	19
6	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Palermo	10	5	1	4	+3	16
8	Bari	10	3	6	1	+1	15
9	Modena	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
11	Reggiana	11	2	7	2	-1	13
12	Brescia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
14	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	+3	12
15	Sudtirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	Ascoli	9	3	2	4	+1	11
17	Pisa	10	2	5	3	-1	11
18	Lecco	9	3	1	5	-4	10
19	FeralpiSalo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
20	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Venezia	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Modena	10	3	5	2	-2	14
8	Catanzaro	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Bari	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Cosenza	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Ternana	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Ascoli	11	1	4	6	-8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.