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Serie B
Referee: L Pairetto
Como
S U S S T
3–3
Full-time
Palermo
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Como 3. · Palermo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 17 10 5 2 +16 35
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Palermo 17 8 4 5 +8 28
8 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 17 4 5 8 -2 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
18 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
19 Lecco 17 4 4 9 -10 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Palermo
17′
F. Di Francesco 0–1
C. Gomes
Marco Sala 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ T. Cassandro
46′
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
46′
46′
🔁 G. Aurelio
↦ K. Lund
1–1 P. Cutrone
M. Curto
46′
48′
🟨 Ionuț Nedelcearu
53′
🟨 Ivan Marconi
2–1 A. Gabrielloni
M. Curto
58′
63′
J. Segre 2–2
M. Brunori
Patrick Cutrone 🟨
66′
Marco Curto 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 F. Di Mariano
↦ F. Di Francesco
70′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ L. Henderson
78′
🔁 L. Štulac
↦ C. Gomes
Lucas Da Cunha 🟨
81′
82′
S. Graves 2–3
L. Štulac
A. Cerri 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
86′
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ L. da Cunha
86′
87′
🔁 A. Matějů
↦ R. Insigne
Marco Curto ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
91′
91′
🟥 Ivan Marconi
3–3 S. Verdi
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Como

3-4-3
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
4 M. Solini D
84 T. Cassandro M
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
3 M. Sala M
8 D. Baselli F
10 P. Cutrone F
33 L. da Cunha F
Bench (12)
7 M. Chajia
9 A. Gabrielloni
27 A. Cerri
90 S. Verdi
21 T. Arrigoni
34 D. Ronco
99 M. Mustapha
6 A. Iovine
11 Álex Blanco
32 F. Rispoli
22 M. Vigorito
80 L. Vignali

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
2 S. Graves D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
15 I. Marconi D
3 K. Lund D
53 L. Henderson M
4 C. Gomes M
8 J. Segre M
11 R. Insigne F
9 M. Brunori F
17 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (11)
31 G. Aurelio
10 F. Di Mariano
20 A. Vasić
6 L. Štulac
37 A. Matějů
30 N. Valente
27 E. Soleri
7 L. Mancuso
1 S. Desplanches
25 A. Buttaro
13 A. Kanurić

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,22
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.