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Serie B

Referee: P Tremolada

Palermo

U S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Bari

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

45%

23%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 5. · Bari 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	22	13	6	3	+20	45
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+15	41
3	Venezia	22	12	5	5	+12	41
4	Como	22	11	6	5	+6	39
5	Palermo	22	10	6	6	+9	36
6	Cittadella	22	10	6	6	+4	36
7	Catanzaro	22	10	4	8	+3	34
8	Modena	22	8	7	7	-3	31
9	Brescia	22	7	8	7	+0	29
10	Reggiana	22	6	10	6	-1	28
11	Sampdoria	22	8	4	10	-5	28
12	Cosenza	22	7	6	9	+0	27
13	Bari	22	5	12	5	-2	27
14	Pisa	22	6	8	8	-2	26
15	Sudtirol	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Ascoli	22	5	7	10	-5	22
17	Ternana	22	5	6	11	-5	21
18	FeralpiSalo	22	5	5	12	-12	20
19	Spezia	22	4	8	10	-15	20
20	Lecco	22	5	5	12	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	Cittadella	12	7	2	3	+6	23
4	Cremonese	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Como	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Palermo	11	6	1	4	+5	19
8	Modena	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Bari	11	3	6	2	-1	15
11	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
12	Reggiana	11	2	7	2	-1	13
13	Brescia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	FeralpiSalo	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	+0	12
18	Pisa	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Lecco	10	3	1	6	-6	10
20	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	7	1	3	+10	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Venezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Reggiana	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Pisa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	Catanzaro	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Modena	11	3	5	3	-4	14
12	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Bari	11	2	6	3	-1	12
14	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Cosenza	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-12	12
17	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Lecco	12	2	4	6	-11	10
19	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8
20	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.