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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Cremonese
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Brescia
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
52%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
48%
29%
Both score Ø 45%
38%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 3. · Brescia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Como 21 11 6 4 +8 39
3 Cremonese 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Venezia 21 11 5 5 +11 38
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Brescia 21 7 8 6 +1 29
9 Modena 21 7 7 7 -6 28
10 Bari 21 5 12 4 +0 27
11 Pisa 21 6 8 7 -1 26
12 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
14 Sudtirol 21 6 6 9 -1 24
15 Cosenza 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Ternana 21 5 6 10 -4 21
17 Lecco 21 5 5 11 -13 20
18 Ascoli 21 4 7 10 -7 19
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Brescia
G. Abrego 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
11′
1–0 G. Abrego
M. Coda
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ N. Galazzi
Žan Majer 🟨
59′
Gonzalo Abrego 🟨
62′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Coda
64′
M. Castagnetti 🔁
↦ Ž. Majer
65′
67′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ B. Bjarnason
67′
🔁 M. Fares
↦ A. Papetti
Franco Vázquez 🟨
68′
78′
🔁 M. Besaggio
↦ D. Bisoli
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
79′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
79′
88′
🔁 M. Ferro
↦ T. van de Looi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
8 M. Collocolo M
37 Ž. Majer M
7 C. Falletti M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (11)
32 G. Abrego
74 F. Tsadjout
19 M. Castagnetti
77 D. Okereke
33 G. Quagliata
31 Y. Rocchetti
9 D. Ciofani
97 A. Livieri
18 P. Ghiglione
21 G. Saro
11 F. Afena-Gyan

Coach: G. Stroppa

Brescia

4-3-2-1
22 L. Andrenacci G
24 L. Dickmann D
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
14 M. Mangraviti D
25 D. Bisoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
23 N. Galazzi M
7 B. Bjarnason M
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (10)
9 F. Bianchi
27 G. Olzer
6 M. Fares
39 M. Besaggio
31 M. Ferro
4 F. Paghera
3 M. Huard
21 R. Fogliata
18 A. Jallow
30 M. Avella

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,59
B
5,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.