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Coppa Italia

Referee: L Pairetto

Roma

U S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Cremonese

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Bologna	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Parma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Reggiana	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
26	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-4	1
27	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.