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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S T S U

1–2

Full-time

St Pauli

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

61%

67%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	18	9	9	0	+18	36
2	Holstein Kiel	18	11	2	5	+9	35
3	Hamburg	18	10	4	4	+13	34
4	Greuther Furth	18	9	5	4	+8	32
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	9	4	5	+16	31
6	Hannover	19	7	7	5	+10	28
7	Paderborn	19	8	4	7	-1	28
8	Nurnberg	19	8	3	8	-9	27
9	Hertha	19	7	5	7	+5	26
10	Wehen	19	7	4	8	-2	25
11	Elversberg	19	7	4	8	-4	25
12	Karlsruhe	18	6	6	6	+1	24
13	Magdeburg	18	6	5	7	+3	23
14	Kaiserslautern	19	6	3	10	-7	21
15	Schalke 04	19	6	2	11	-9	20
16	Hansa Rostock	19	6	2	11	-13	20
17	Braunschweig	18	5	2	11	-14	17
18	Osnabruck	19	1	7	11	-24	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+13	20
3	Greuther Furth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
4	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+14	18
5	Karlsruhe	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Kaiserslautern	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Holstein Kiel	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Hertha	9	4	3	2	+12	15
9	Wehen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Magdeburg	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Nurnberg	9	4	2	3	-1	14
14	Schalke 04	9	4	1	4	+3	13
15	Hansa Rostock	10	4	1	5	-3	13
16	Elversberg	9	3	2	4	-2	11
17	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-4	11
18	Osnabruck	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	5	2	2	+14	17
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+5	16
4	Elversberg	10	4	2	4	-2	14
5	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Hamburg	10	3	4	3	+1	13
7	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-8	13
8	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-4	12
9	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-7	11
10	Wehen	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Hannover	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Magdeburg	9	2	3	4	-1	9
13	Hansa Rostock	9	2	1	6	-10	7
14	Schalke 04	10	2	1	7	-12	7
15	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Braunschweig	9	2	0	7	-10	6
17	Kaiserslautern	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Osnabruck	9	0	3	6	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.