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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Catanzaro

T S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Brescia

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

53%

29%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

59%

24%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,7

1,9

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Brescia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	11	5	2	+18	38
2	Venezia	18	10	4	4	+11	34
3	Cremonese	18	9	5	4	+13	32
4	Cittadella	18	9	5	4	+5	32
5	Como	18	9	5	4	+3	32
6	Catanzaro	17	9	3	5	+6	30
7	Palermo	18	8	5	5	+8	29
8	Modena	18	7	6	5	-3	27
9	Sampdoria	17	7	3	7	+0	24
10	Brescia	17	5	7	5	+1	22
11	Bari	17	4	9	4	-2	21
12	Sudtirol	17	5	5	7	+0	20
13	Cosenza	17	5	5	7	-1	20
14	Pisa	17	4	6	7	-4	18
15	Ternana	18	4	5	9	-4	17
16	Reggiana	17	3	8	6	-5	17
17	Lecco	18	4	5	9	-10	17
18	Ascoli	17	4	4	9	-6	16
19	Spezia	18	3	7	8	-11	16
20	FeralpiSalo	17	2	4	11	-19	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	6	4	0	+10	22
2	Venezia	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Cittadella	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Como	9	5	3	1	+3	18
5	Catanzaro	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Cremonese	10	4	3	3	+6	15
7	Modena	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Palermo	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Cosenza	9	3	3	3	+4	12
10	Sampdoria	8	4	0	4	+1	12
11	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Bari	8	2	5	1	-1	11
13	Ascoli	8	3	1	4	+1	10
14	Sudtirol	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Ternana	9	2	3	4	+0	9
16	Reggiana	9	1	6	2	-2	9
17	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Spezia	8	1	4	3	-2	7
19	Lecco	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Parma	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Palermo	9	4	4	1	+6	16
4	Venezia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Catanzaro	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Modena	9	3	4	2	-2	13
8	Cittadella	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Sudtirol	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Pisa	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Brescia	8	2	4	2	+1	10
13	Bari	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Lecco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
16	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Ternana	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Cosenza	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.