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Serie B
Referee: M Fabbri
Venezia
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Ternana
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
52%
24%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
62%
Both score Ø 67%
62%
71%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 4. · Ternana 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Como 21 11 6 4 +8 39
3 Cremonese 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Venezia 21 11 5 5 +11 38
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Brescia 21 7 8 6 +1 29
9 Modena 21 7 7 7 -6 28
10 Bari 21 5 12 4 +0 27
11 Pisa 21 6 8 7 -1 26
12 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
14 Sudtirol 21 6 6 9 -1 24
15 Cosenza 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Ternana 21 5 6 10 -4 21
17 Lecco 21 5 5 11 -13 20
18 Ascoli 21 4 7 10 -7 19
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Ternana
Half-time 0–0
Tanner Tessmann 🟨
50′
Marin Šverko 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 G. Luperini
↦ G. Faticanti
61′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ A. Raimondo
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ B. Bjarkason
72′
G. Altare 🔁
↦ F. Zampano
72′
72′
🔁 C. Favasuli
↦ F. Carboni
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
73′
79′
🔁 F. Sgarbi
↦ L. Lucchesi
79′
🔁 F. Distefano
↦ G. Pereiro
1–0 G. Busio
84′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
87′
91′
🟨 Andrea Favilli
91′
🟥 Andrea Favilli
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Venezia

4-4-2
1 J. Joronen G
27 A. Candela D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
7 F. Zampano D
19 B. Bjarkason M
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
17 D. Johnsen M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
9 C. Gytkjær F
Bench (12)
10 N. Pierini
15 G. Altare
99 M. Olivieri
24 N. Lella
21 D. Cheryshev
12 Bruno
25 A. Dembélé
38 M. Kofod Andersen
13 M. Modolo
23 M. Grandi
77 M. Ellertsson
4 J. Idzes

Coach: P. Vanoli

Ternana

3-5-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
13 V. Mantovani D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 T. Casasola M
8 K. de Boer M
16 G. Faticanti M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
79 F. Carboni M
10 G. Pereiro F
9 A. Raimondo F
Bench (12)
71 G. Luperini
17 A. Favilli
27 C. Favasuli
32 F. Sgarbi
28 F. Distefano
77 Gabriel Brazão
11 J. Żuberek
65 F. Dionisi
5 G. Boloca
18 T. Vitali
25 J. Łabojko
4 F. Sørensen

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,92
B
4,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.