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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
St Etienne
T U S U S
0–1
Full-time
Amiens
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 6. · Amiens 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 21 13 4 4 +16 43
2 Auxerre 21 12 6 3 +22 42
3 Grenoble 21 9 9 3 +8 36
4 Laval 21 10 6 5 +4 36
5 Caen 21 9 5 7 +4 32
6 St Etienne 21 9 5 7 +1 32
7 Guingamp 21 8 7 6 +8 31
8 Rodez 21 8 7 6 +3 31
9 Paris FC 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Pau FC 21 8 7 6 +1 31
11 Amiens 21 8 7 6 -2 31
12 Ajaccio 21 8 6 7 -2 30
13 Bordeaux 21 7 5 9 -5 26
14 Concarneau 21 7 4 10 -8 25
15 Bastia 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Troyes 21 5 8 8 -2 23
17 Annecy 21 4 7 10 -8 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 21 3 8 10 -6 17
19 Dunkerque 21 4 5 12 -17 17
20 Valenciennes 21 1 8 12 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Amiens
41′
M. Do Couto 0–1
O. Géne
Half-time 0–1
T. Monconduit 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
46′
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
46′
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Youssouf Assogba
67′
🔁 A. Carroll
↦ M. Do Couto
L. Fomba 🔁
↦ F. Tardieu
71′
N. Mbuku 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
72′
76′
🔁 J. Gélin
↦ F. Boya
L. Pétrot 🔁
↦ Y. Maçon
83′
88′
🔁 A. Ouhatti
↦ O. Géne
89′
🔁 S. Corchia
↦ Y. Assogba
90′
🟨 Sebastian Ring
92′
🟨 Antoine Leautey
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
27 Y. Maçon D
5 F. Tardieu M
14 D. Chambost M
29 A. Moueffek M
6 B. Bouchouari M
18 M. Cafaro M
11 I. Cardona F
Bench (7)
7 T. Monconduit
25 I. Wadji
26 L. Fomba
10 N. Mbuku
19 L. Pétrot
1 M. Dreyer
48 B. Djile

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
15 Y. Assogba D
5 O. Urhoghide D
13 M. Jaouab D
3 S. Ring D
20 K. Kaïboué M
7 A. Léautey M
29 F. Boya M
25 O. Géne M
11 M. Do Couto M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
99 A. Carroll
24 J. Gélin
55 A. Ouhatti
14 S. Corchia
16 A. Sauvage
37 J. Lahne
94 M. Touho

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,35
B ✓
3,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.