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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Cremonese
S S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,7
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 9. · Sampdoria 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Modena 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Venezia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Catanzaro 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bari 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Cosenza 4 1 1 2 +1 4
9 Cremonese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Pisa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Ascoli 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Reggiana 4 0 2 2 -3 2
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 FeralpiSalo 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Sampdoria
1–0 C. Pickel
27′
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Gerard Yepes
↦ M. Ricci
52′
🟨 Petar Stojanović
60′
Estanis Pedrola 1–1
F. Borini
63′
🟨 Valerio Verre
67′
🔁 M. Delle Monache
↦ A. La Gumina
68′
🔁 R. Vieira
↦ P. Stojanović
L. Zanimacchia 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
75′
M. Castagnetti 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
75′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Coda
75′
77′
ℹ️ Gerard Yepes
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Charles Pickel 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Ronaldo Vieira
G. Abrego 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
86′
86′
🔁 S. Esposito
↦ F. Borini
87′
🔁 S. Girelli
↦ V. Verre
92′
🟨 Alex Ferrari
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

4-4-2
1 M. Sarr G
17 L. Sernicola D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
33 G. Quagliata D
8 M. Collocolo M
91 A. Bertolacci M
6 C. Pickel M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
98 L. Zanimacchia
19 M. Castagnetti
74 F. Tsadjout
32 G. Abrego
18 P. Ghiglione
9 D. Ciofani
11 F. Afena-Gyan
22 A. Jungdal
26 V. Antov
21 G. Saro
7 N. Sekulov
37 Ž. Majer

Coach: D. Ballardini

Sampdoria

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
40 P. Stojanović D
87 D. Ghilardi D
25 A. Ferrari D
29 N. Murru D
23 F. Depaoli M
8 M. Ricci M
10 V. Verre M
11 Estanis Pedrola F
20 A. La Gumina F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (12)
28 Gerard Yepes
77 M. Delle Monache
4 R. Vieira
7 S. Esposito
32 S. Girelli
6 S. Panada
92 N. Lemina
33 Facundo González
5 K. Askildsen
17 L. Malagrida
22 N. Ravaglia
21 S. Giordano

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,32
B
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.