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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Santoro

Genoa

T S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Spal

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 12. · Spal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	2	2	0	+6	6
2	Modena	2	2	0	+3	6
3	Spezia	1	1	0	+4	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	+3	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
7	FeralpiSalo	2	1	1	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Cittadella	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Monza	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Genoa	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Cremonese	1	1	0	+1	3
14	Udinese	1	1	0	+1	3
15	Spal	1	1	0	+1	3
16	Sampdoria	1	1	0	+1	3
17	Bologna	1	1	0	+1	3
18	Palermo	2	1	1	-2	3
19	Reggiana	1	0	1	-1	0
20	Perugia	1	0	1	-1	0
21	Lecce	1	0	1	-1	0
22	Venezia	1	0	1	-1	0
23	Frosinone	1	0	1	-1	0
24	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	0
25	Sassuolo	1	0	1	-1	0
26	Ternana	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Empoli	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Reggina	1	0	1	-1	0
29	Cosenza	1	0	1	-1	0
30	Sudtirol	1	0	1	-2	0
31	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-2	0
32	Salernitana	1	0	1	-2	0
33	Pisa	1	0	1	-3	0
34	Verona	1	0	1	-3	0
35	Padova	1	0	1	-3	0
36	Como	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	+3	6
2	Spezia	1	1	0	+4	3
3	Bari	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Torino	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Monza	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Cremonese	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Sampdoria	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Bologna	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Lecce	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Venezia	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Sudtirol	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Salernitana	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Pisa	1	0	1	-3	0
19	Verona	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Bari	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	1	+1	3
5	Cittadella	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Spal	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Reggiana	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Perugia	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Frosinone	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Sassuolo	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Ternana	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Reggina	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Cosenza	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Padova	1	0	1	-3	0
18	Palermo	1	0	1	-3	0
19	Como	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.